Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability for "Rory McIlroy wins the 2026 US Masters" on Polymarket has risen to 70%, a 46% increase in 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume for the "2026 US Masters Champion" event contract has exceeded $107 million.
The rules for this event contract are as follows: Settlement is based on the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If a player is eliminated according to the official tournament rules, the relevant market will be settled as "No." In the event of a tie, settlement will be based on the champion determined by the official Masters rules. If no champion is announced by December 31, 2026, the settlement will be "Other." The primary settlement basis is the official results published on the PGA Tour website and the Masters official website, with possible reference to consensus from other reliable reports.
The 90th US Masters Tournament commenced this week at Augusta National Golf Club. Defending champion Rory McIlroy shot a 67, tying for the lead after the first round with American player Sam Burns. Chinese player Li Haotong carded a 71, tying for 10th place. After the first day's play, Australian player Jason Day, Japanese-American player Kurt Kitayama, and 2018 Masters champion Patrick Reed are tied for third after shooting 69.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.