Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability of a "U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting before April 18" has risen to 54%, up 27% in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of a "U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting before April 30" has risen to 94%, up 22% in 24 hours.
According to the event contract rules, a diplomatic meeting refers to a formal meeting where U.S. and Iranian representatives attend in an official capacity and are authorized to represent their respective governments in negotiations or diplomatic activities concerning U.S.-Iran relations. Indirectly held meetings, such as those conducted through designated mediators, coordinators, or interlocutors with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, also fall within the scope of diplomatic meetings.
The Pakistani Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that it has invited the United States and Iran to Islamabad for a second round of talks. The date and time for the second round of U.S.-Iran negotiations have not yet been determined. Furthermore, Iranian Deputy Interior Minister Ali Zenivand said on the 13th that U.S. President Trump's remarks about "destroying" Iranian civilization were a "joke," adding that "those who do not understand Iranian civilization cannot appreciate its strength."
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
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Polymarket Probability of "U.S.-Iran Diplomatic Meeting Before April 18" Rises to 54%, Up 27% in 24H
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