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Before the nonfarm payroll data release, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June was 96.9%
08/05/2026 08:23
Svmuu Svmuu reports that before the release of the nonfarm payroll data, according to the CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in June is 3.1%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.9%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed by July is 9.1%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 90.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.2%.
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