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Bitcoin Pricing Falls Below $65,000: Ahead of the Federal Reserve, Structural Concerns and Leverage Risks in Strategy Converge
Svmuu News Bitcoin continues to face pressure amid macroeconomic uncertainty and a wait-and-see attitude among institutional investors, with the price hovering around $64,500 and down approximately 2% on the day.The market is awaiting the results of the FOMC meeting at Federal Reserve, chaired for the first time by Kevin Warsh. It is widely expected that interest rates will remain unchanged within the 3.50%–3.75% range. Analysts note that the focus of this meeting has shifted from “whether to cut rates” to “the policy path and inflation signals.” U.S. inflation is currently considered to remain at a near three-year high, and changes in energy prices and the geopolitical landscape have led the market to remain cautious about the direction of future policy. Pressure is emerging simultaneously at both the on-chain and institutional levels.Structural concerns surrounding Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continue to mount; its preferred stock, STRC, fell to $91.79 on June 16—more than 8% below its $100 par value—which is seen as a sign of weakening buying momentum from corporate Bitcoin. Although spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of approximately $10.1 million on June 16—with BlackRock’s IBIT contributing the bulk of the increase—the scale of capital inflows remained significantly lower than in previous periods, indicating limited buying momentum. Market research firms Bitfinex and QCP noted that the recent rebound in Bitcoin is more of a “technical correction driven by exhaustion of selling pressure” rather than new demand. In the derivatives market, rising implied volatility in options and a shift in skew toward put protection indicate that traders are pricing in tail risks. In terms of price structure, Bitcoin is expected to consolidate within the $60,000 to $68,000 range in the short term. If the Federal Reserve signals a hawkish stance or institutional buying weakens further, the price could pull back to the $62,000–$63,000 range. Overall, the current market presents a combination of “macro uncertainty, marginally weaker institutional buying, and increased defensive positioning in derivatives.” The short-term direction remains dependent on FOMC policy signals and the extent to which ETF and corporate funds flow back into the market. (The Block)
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