Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds has narrowed to about 28 basis points, reaching its narrowest level since April 2025, indicating a significant flattening of the yield curve. This shift is typically viewed as a sign of tightening monetary policy or growing market expectations of “persistently high interest rates.” Skanda Amarnath, Executive Director of the policy research organization EmployAmerica, noted that this flattening trend is “one of the clearest market signals that the Federal Reserve has become more hawkish.” In a more hawkish interest rate environment, the market expects rates to remain high for a longer period, thereby enhancing the appeal of fixed-income assets and weakening demand for non-yielding assets such as Bitcoin. In addition to the spread between 10-year and 2-year yields, the spread between 30-year and 5-year Treasury yields has also fallen to its lowest level since April of last year, further reinforcing the overall flattening trend of the yield curve. Market participants believe this shift represents a marked reversal from the “steepening curve and bets on rate cuts” environment seen earlier this year.In the latest round of policy signals, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, but the dot plot indicated a more hawkish future rate path than previously forecast, with median rate expectations shifting upward across the board, reinforcing expectations that high interest rates will persist for longer. Analysts point out that if the high-interest-rate environment persists, risk assets such as Bitcoins may struggle to establish a strong upward trend in the short term. The market may enter a phase of volatility and downward pressure, which could intersect with the timing of bottom expectations based on the halving cycle. (CoinDesk)