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On Polymarket, the probability of a "ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran by March 15" has dropped to 25%
02/03/2026 19:45
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Svmuu News: According to data from the Polymarket website, the probability of an "ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran by March 15" briefly rose to 64% before falling back to 25%, with trading volume exceeding $800,000.Earlier this morning, Donald Trump reported that military operations against Iran are expected to last 4 to 5 weeks, but could potentially extend longer.
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