Forecasting the market
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ForeGate's "Million-Dollar World Cup Prediction Contest" Steps It Up, Partnering with OKX to Add an Additional 100,000 USDT Airdrop
Svmuu News: On-chain prediction market ForeGate has announced that it is further expanding its ongoing "World Cup Prediction Cup"—in addition to the $1 million World Cup prize pool, it has partnered w
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Polymarket Documentation Update: No Disclosure of空投资 Qualification Criteria; Users Encouraged to Focus on Genuine Interaction
Svmuu News: The FAQs (Frequently Asked Questions) section of Polymarket’s official documentation shows “Updated Today” under the question “Does Polymarket have a token?” The latest updated content, tr
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. U.S. Vice President Vance: Negotiations with Iran are going very smoothly, and we have made a lot of positive progress; 2. ZachXBT: A wallet linked to the HashFlare scam remained dormant for 3.5 ye
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Polymarket is accused of paying creators to film fake betting videos
Svmuu News: The crypto prediction market platform Polymarket has been accused of paying dozens of creators—mostly college-aged—to film betting videos on pages that closely resemble its website; some o
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Gate’s World Cup section on the prediction market has been fully upgraded to provide a one-stop event prediction experience
Svmuu News: Gate has completed an upgrade to its World Cup section in the prediction market, further enhancing the prediction market experience for the tournament. After updating the Gate app to versi
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A "smart money" investor bet $490,000 on Argentina to beat Austria in the World Cup group stage
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group Stage, Group J, Round 2: Argentina vs. Austria,” an account with total profits exceed
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OKX’s World Cup Prediction Ecosystem Partners Continue to Step Up Their Support, Adding an Additional 380,000 U in a Dedicated Prize Pool for 8 Matches This Week
Svmuu News: According to official reports, OKX’s World Cup prediction event has added separate prize pools for a total of 8 matches this week, covering cryptocurrencies such as ZAMA, SPACE, NIGHT, and
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A "smart money" investor bet $320,000 on Argentina to beat Austria in the World Cup group stage
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group Stage, Group J, Matchday 2: Argentina vs. Austria,” smart money generated over $660,0
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predict.fun: Probability of “Egypt finishing first in World Cup Group G” rises to 66%, up 40% in 24 hours
According to monitoring data from the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, in the “World Cup Group G Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of Egypt finishing first in Group G has risen to 66
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predict.fun: Probability of “Spain finishing first in World Cup Group H” rises to 87%, up 13% in 24 hours
According to monitoring data from the Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel, in the “World Cup Group H Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of Spain finishing first in Group H has risen to 8
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $110,000 bet on CS2 IEM Cologne Major Final: Furia defeated Team Falcons
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event “CS2 IEM Cologne Major Final: Furia vs. Team Falcons,” smart money (0x89dd49bf87c41be422927372a0b75c6ab577f662) wi
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Iranian media reports that ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to zero; 2. Adam Back: Strategy won’t go to zero; bearish views on STRC are unfounded; 3. Kalshi’s trading volume th
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predict.fun: Probability that “the Netherlands will finish first in World Cup Group F” rises to 76%, up 32% in 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel, in the “World Cup Group F Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of the Netherlands finishing first in Group F has risen t
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Polymarket’s probability that “Claude Fable 5 will resume service for U.S. customers by June 26” has dropped to 41%, down 16% over the past 24 hours.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability on Polymarket that “Claude Fable 5 will resume service for U.S. customers by June 26” has dropped to 41%, a 16% decline over the past
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"The White-Haired Stock Guru" Offers a Sharp Analysis of Market Regulation: Additional Regulatory Scrutiny Is on the Horizon; The Impact of Polymarket KOLs’ Paid Marketing on X’s Algorithmic Behavior Should Be Investigated
Svmuu News: In response to today’s Wall Street Journal report alleging that “Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos,” “White-Haired Stock Guru
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Polymarket has added a new bet: “Can BLG achieve the ‘Golden Path’ (Grand Slam)?” The current probability is provisionally reported at 9%.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, with the League of Legends MSI (Mid-Season Invitational) World Championship set to begin on June 28, Polymarket has added a new bet: “Will BLG achiev
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Kalshi's trading volume this month is close to surpassing last month's nominal total trading volume of nearly $18 billion.
Svmuu News: KalshiData posted on X stating that Kalshi is about to surpass last month’s nominal trading volume of nearly $18 billion.
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Open interest in prediction markets has hit a record high for two consecutive weeks, reaching $1.48 billion.
Svmuu News: a16z crypto posted on X that open interest in prediction markets reached $1.48 billion in the week ending June 15, setting a new all-time high for the second consecutive week. Unlike tradi
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Polymarket’s probability that “GPT-5.6 will not be released to the public before June 28” has risen to 78%, up 67% in the last 24 hours.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability on Polymarket that “GPT-5.6 will not be released to the public before June 28” has risen to 78%, a 67% increase over the past 24 hour
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Polymarket has been accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and videos showing fake profits
Svmuu News: The prediction market platform Polymarket has been accused of promoting its products on social media by having paid creators post videos of simulated trades and fake profits. Reports indic
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $220,000 bet on CS2 IEM Cologne Major semifinals, where Furia defeated Aurora
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event “CS2 IEM Cologne Major Semifinals: Furia vs. Aurora,” smart money (0x89dd49bf87c41be422927372a0b75c6ab577f662), wh
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Musk Secures a Record-Breaking 7800亿元 Compensation Package; 2. Analysis: U.S. SEC Plans to Approve Stock Tokenization Trading, Which May Trigger a Structural Reshaping of the U.S. Stock Market; 3.
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a16z crypto: A combination of events, including the World Cup, drove weekly trading volume in prediction markets to a record high
Svmuu News: Data released by a16z crypto shows that weekly trading volume in prediction markets reached $10.8 billion for the first time, setting a new all-time high. This record-breaking growth was d
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Polymarket’s probability that “the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by June 30” has dropped to 9%, down 9% over the past 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, the probability on Polymarket that “the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by June 30” has dropped to 9%, a 9% decline over the past 24 h
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ForeGate's "Million-Dollar World Cup Prediction Contest" Steps It Up, Partnering with OKX to Add an Additional 100,000 USDT Airdrop
Svmuu News: On-chain prediction market ForeGate has announced that it is further expanding its ongoing "World Cup Prediction Cup"—in addition to the $1 million World Cup prize pool, it has partnered w
-
Polymarket Documentation Update: No Disclosure of空投资 Qualification Criteria; Users Encouraged to Focus on Genuine Interaction
Svmuu News: The FAQs (Frequently Asked Questions) section of Polymarket’s official documentation shows “Updated Today” under the question “Does Polymarket have a token?” The latest updated content, tr
-
Svmuu Evening Brief
1. U.S. Vice President Vance: Negotiations with Iran are going very smoothly, and we have made a lot of positive progress; 2. ZachXBT: A wallet linked to the HashFlare scam remained dormant for 3.5 ye
-
Polymarket is accused of paying creators to film fake betting videos
Svmuu News: The crypto prediction market platform Polymarket has been accused of paying dozens of creators—mostly college-aged—to film betting videos on pages that closely resemble its website; some o
-
Gate’s World Cup section on the prediction market has been fully upgraded to provide a one-stop event prediction experience
Svmuu News: Gate has completed an upgrade to its World Cup section in the prediction market, further enhancing the prediction market experience for the tournament. After updating the Gate app to versi
-
A "smart money" investor bet $490,000 on Argentina to beat Austria in the World Cup group stage
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group Stage, Group J, Round 2: Argentina vs. Austria,” an account with total profits exceed
-
OKX’s World Cup Prediction Ecosystem Partners Continue to Step Up Their Support, Adding an Additional 380,000 U in a Dedicated Prize Pool for 8 Matches This Week
Svmuu News: According to official reports, OKX’s World Cup prediction event has added separate prize pools for a total of 8 matches this week, covering cryptocurrencies such as ZAMA, SPACE, NIGHT, and
-
A "smart money" investor bet $320,000 on Argentina to beat Austria in the World Cup group stage
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group Stage, Group J, Matchday 2: Argentina vs. Austria,” smart money generated over $660,0
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predict.fun: Probability of “Egypt finishing first in World Cup Group G” rises to 66%, up 40% in 24 hours
According to monitoring data from the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, in the “World Cup Group G Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of Egypt finishing first in Group G has risen to 66
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predict.fun: Probability of “Spain finishing first in World Cup Group H” rises to 87%, up 13% in 24 hours
According to monitoring data from the Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel, in the “World Cup Group H Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of Spain finishing first in Group H has risen to 8
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $110,000 bet on CS2 IEM Cologne Major Final: Furia defeated Team Falcons
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event “CS2 IEM Cologne Major Final: Furia vs. Team Falcons,” smart money (0x89dd49bf87c41be422927372a0b75c6ab577f662) wi
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Iranian media reports that ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to zero; 2. Adam Back: Strategy won’t go to zero; bearish views on STRC are unfounded; 3. Kalshi’s trading volume th
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predict.fun: Probability that “the Netherlands will finish first in World Cup Group F” rises to 76%, up 32% in 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel, in the “World Cup Group F Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of the Netherlands finishing first in Group F has risen t
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Polymarket’s probability that “Claude Fable 5 will resume service for U.S. customers by June 26” has dropped to 41%, down 16% over the past 24 hours.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability on Polymarket that “Claude Fable 5 will resume service for U.S. customers by June 26” has dropped to 41%, a 16% decline over the past
-
"The White-Haired Stock Guru" Offers a Sharp Analysis of Market Regulation: Additional Regulatory Scrutiny Is on the Horizon; The Impact of Polymarket KOLs’ Paid Marketing on X’s Algorithmic Behavior Should Be Investigated
Svmuu News: In response to today’s Wall Street Journal report alleging that “Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos,” “White-Haired Stock Guru
-
Polymarket has added a new bet: “Can BLG achieve the ‘Golden Path’ (Grand Slam)?” The current probability is provisionally reported at 9%.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, with the League of Legends MSI (Mid-Season Invitational) World Championship set to begin on June 28, Polymarket has added a new bet: “Will BLG achiev
-
Kalshi's trading volume this month is close to surpassing last month's nominal total trading volume of nearly $18 billion.
Svmuu News: KalshiData posted on X stating that Kalshi is about to surpass last month’s nominal trading volume of nearly $18 billion.
-
Open interest in prediction markets has hit a record high for two consecutive weeks, reaching $1.48 billion.
Svmuu News: a16z crypto posted on X that open interest in prediction markets reached $1.48 billion in the week ending June 15, setting a new all-time high for the second consecutive week. Unlike tradi
-
Polymarket’s probability that “GPT-5.6 will not be released to the public before June 28” has risen to 78%, up 67% in the last 24 hours.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability on Polymarket that “GPT-5.6 will not be released to the public before June 28” has risen to 78%, a 67% increase over the past 24 hour
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Polymarket has been accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and videos showing fake profits
Svmuu News: The prediction market platform Polymarket has been accused of promoting its products on social media by having paid creators post videos of simulated trades and fake profits. Reports indic
-
A "smart money" bettor placed a $220,000 bet on CS2 IEM Cologne Major semifinals, where Furia defeated Aurora
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event “CS2 IEM Cologne Major Semifinals: Furia vs. Aurora,” smart money (0x89dd49bf87c41be422927372a0b75c6ab577f662), wh
-
Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Musk Secures a Record-Breaking 7800亿元 Compensation Package; 2. Analysis: U.S. SEC Plans to Approve Stock Tokenization Trading, Which May Trigger a Structural Reshaping of the U.S. Stock Market; 3.
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a16z crypto: A combination of events, including the World Cup, drove weekly trading volume in prediction markets to a record high
Svmuu News: Data released by a16z crypto shows that weekly trading volume in prediction markets reached $10.8 billion for the first time, setting a new all-time high. This record-breaking growth was d
-
Polymarket’s probability that “the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by June 30” has dropped to 9%, down 9% over the past 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, the probability on Polymarket that “the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by June 30” has dropped to 9%, a 9% decline over the past 24 h
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Forecasting the market
24H Trending
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Binance Seven U-denominated perpetual contracts, including LRCX and KLAC, will be launched
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Iranian Foreign Ministry: Technical Talks Between Iran and the U.S. Have Begun in Switzerland
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Iranian President: Iran Negotiated with Dignity and Made No Concessions
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OKX’s World Cup Prediction Ecosystem Partners Continue to Step Up Their Support, Adding an Additional 380,000 U in a Dedicated Prize Pool for 8 Matches This Week
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How can I buy and trade ASY? On which exchanges is ASY listed?
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Market News: U.S. Vice President Vance is set to deliver a speech in Switzerland following his first round of talks with Iran
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The Central Bank of Iran has begun pushing for the release of Iran's frozen assets
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Gate Stock has officially launched trading in South Korean stocks, supporting direct investment in the South Korean capital market using USDT
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
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Svmuu Evening Brief
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