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SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce Discusses Perpetual Contracts and the Regulation of the Prediction Market: Emphasizes Self-Custody and Financial Privacy Principles
Svmuu News: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Commissioner Hester Peirce shared her views on the future of perpetual contracts, prediction markets, and digital asset regulation, striking a
20/06/2026 04:13
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Charles Schwab Enters the Prediction Markets, Set to Launch S&P 500 Event Contracts
Svmuu News: Charles Schwab is preparing to enter the prediction markets sector through a partnership with Cboe Global Markets. The two companies are developing options-based contracts that will allow
19/06/2026 20:15
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has begun preliminary discussions with investment banks regarding an IPO
Svmuu News: According to sources familiar with the matter, prediction market platform Kalshi has disclosed that it is in early, informal discussions with investment banks regarding an IPO. A Kalshi sp
19/06/2026 11:18
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A "smart money" investor bought $190,000 worth of bets on the World Cup group stage match where Australia failed to beat the United States
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group D, Matchday 2: USA vs. Australia,” smart money generated over $1.75 million in profit
19/06/2026 08:14
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Reaching an all-time high, Robinhood’s prediction market contract trading volume reached 3.9 billion contracts in May
Svmuu News: The Robinhood platform's May 2026 prediction market contract trading volume reached a record high of 3.9 billion contracts. Since last September, contract trading volume has increased more
19/06/2026 05:01
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Insider Information or Luck? New Account Makes Over $7.5 Million in a Single Match Between the Czech Republic and South Africa
Svmuu News: In the Polymarket prediction event for “2026 World Cup Group A, Matchday 2: Czech Republic vs. South Africa,” the new account GRIMDRIP (0x3f87d51f27ba6e19ec52aaeebb68559a839c742c) placed b
19/06/2026 02:09
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The probability on Polymarket that “Claude Fable 5 will resume service for U.S. customers by July 1” has risen to 73%, up 33% over the past 24 hours.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability on Polymarket that “Claude Fable 5 will resume service for U.S. customers by July 1” has risen to 73%, up 33% over the past 24 hours.
19/06/2026 00:25
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NewGen Invests $10 Million in K25.ai, Completing Its Pre-A Round of Financing, and Acquires a 10% Stake
Svmuu News: According to official reports, NewGenIVF Group (NIVF), a company listed on the Nasdaq, announced an additional investment of $4 million in the prediction market platform K25.ai, completing
18/06/2026 23:09
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Polymarket Adds New Listing: “Date of SpaceX Starship’s First Launch in Florida”
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, a new prediction event titled “Time of SpaceX Starship’s First Launch in Florida” has been added to Polymarket. To date, all integrated test flights
18/06/2026 08:54
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A "smart money" investor bet $520,000 that the Czech Republic would not defeat South Africa in the World Cup group stage.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group A, Matchday 2: Czech Republic vs. South Africa,” smart money generated profits exceed
18/06/2026 01:45
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The probability on Polymarket that “o1’s market cap will exceed $400 million the day after its TGE” has risen to 89%, up 81% over the past 24 hours.
According to monitoring data from the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability that “o1’s market cap will exceed $400 million on the day after its TGE” on Polymarket has risen to 89%, up 81% over the past
18/06/2026 00:00
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$7.46 million bet on a single match: A high-roller bets on Colombia to beat Uzbekistan
Svmuu News: Giant Whale "endlessFate" placed a $7.46 million bet on Colombia to win in their World Cup match against Uzbekistan. If the bet wins, he will profit $2.71 million; if it loses, he will los
17/06/2026 23:45
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Kentucky Sues Platform Involved in Sports Betting Prediction Markets
Svmuu News: Kentucky has joined other states in filing a lawsuit against prediction market platforms engaged in sports betting. The state is politically conservative and supports President Donald Trum
17/06/2026 21:13
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Kalshi CEO: When asked about competitors, the first names that come to mind aren’t Polymarket, but platforms like CME and Robinhood.
Svmuu News: Tarek Mansour, co-founder and CEO of Kalshi, said in an interview with FOX: “To be honest, when I think of competitors, Polymarket isn’t the first thing that comes to mind—it’s actually so
17/06/2026 21:04
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Opinion: Prediction markets will not be dominated by a single platform; they will follow the development path of perpetual contracts and evolve into a landscape where multiple platforms coexist.
Svmuu News: CJ Hetherington, co-founder and CEO of the prediction market platform Limitless Labs, stated that he does not believe the prediction market industry will see a single dominant player emerg
17/06/2026 10:14
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Kalshi Partners with StarCompliance to Launch Real-Time Employee Trading Monitoring Service
Svmuu News: Kalshi, a U.S.-based compliance-focused prediction trading platform, has entered into a strategic partnership with financial compliance service provider StarCompliance to launch a real-tim
17/06/2026 09:11
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CME Group CEO Terry Duffy is set to step down
Svmuu News: According to market reports, Terry Duffy, CEO of CME Group, is set to step down. Perhaps as a result, CME Group’s stock price fell 4% in premarket trading. Terry Duffy had previously expre
17/06/2026 08:48
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A "smart money" investor bet $243,000 on Portugal to defeat the Democratic Republic of the Congo in a World Cup group stage match.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group H, Round 1: Portugal vs. DR Congo,” a “smart money” account with a 49% win rate smart
17/06/2026 07:55
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Bybit Launches World Cup Goal Difference Contracts, Covering All Group Stage Matches Through June 25
Svmuu News: Bybit continues to expand its goal difference futures offerings, adding 18 new group stage contracts, which are now open for pre-match trading. This round of contracts covers matches throu
17/06/2026 07:54
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Polymarket: Probability that “Anthropic’s valuation will reach $1.1 trillion by June 30” rises to 67%; up 30% in 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, the probability on Polymarket that “Anthropic’s valuation will reach $1.1 trillion by June 30” has now risen to 67%, up 30% over the past 24
17/06/2026 05:54
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AlphAi Launches World Cup Prediction Campaign
Svmuu News: According to official reports, AlphAi has announced official support for prediction market trading and has simultaneously launched a 2026 World Cup prediction event. Users can participate
17/06/2026 01:53
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Polymarket: Probability of “Messi winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot” rises to 25%, up 19% in 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability of “Messi winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot” on Polymarket has now risen to 25%, up 19% over the past 24 hours, tying him with M
17/06/2026 01:29
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Polymarket Celebrates Its 6th Anniversary, with Cumulative Trading Volume Exceeding $88 Billion
Svmuu News: The founder of Polymarket posted on X to celebrate the platform’s 6th anniversary on June 17, stating, “I am truly grateful to be working on this venture, which means so much to me. It’s t
16/06/2026 22:45
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The gambling industry and labor unions are jointly pushing to include a provision in the crypto bill that would prohibit prediction markets from offering sports betting
Svmuu News: The gambling industry is joining forces with labor unions to urge lawmakers to include restrictive provisions in pending cryptocurrency legislation that would prohibit prediction markets s
16/06/2026 21:44
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ForeGate's "Million-Dollar World Cup Prediction Contest" Steps It Up, Partnering with OKX to Add an Additional 100,000 USDT Airdrop
Svmuu News: On-chain prediction market ForeGate has announced that it is further expanding its ongoing "World Cup Prediction Cup"—in addition to the $1 million World Cup prize pool, it has partnered w
22/06/2026 13:02
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Polymarket Documentation Update: No Disclosure of空投资 Qualification Criteria; Users Encouraged to Focus on Genuine Interaction
Svmuu News: The FAQs (Frequently Asked Questions) section of Polymarket’s official documentation shows “Updated Today” under the question “Does Polymarket have a token?” The latest updated content, tr
22/06/2026 09:40
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. U.S. Vice President Vance: Negotiations with Iran are going very smoothly, and we have made a lot of positive progress; 2. ZachXBT: A wallet linked to the HashFlare scam remained dormant for 3.5 ye
22/06/2026 07:29
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Polymarket is accused of paying creators to film fake betting videos
Svmuu News: The crypto prediction market platform Polymarket has been accused of paying dozens of creators—mostly college-aged—to film betting videos on pages that closely resemble its website; some o
22/06/2026 07:00
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Gate’s World Cup section on the prediction market has been fully upgraded to provide a one-stop event prediction experience
Svmuu News: Gate has completed an upgrade to its World Cup section in the prediction market, further enhancing the prediction market experience for the tournament. After updating the Gate app to versi
22/06/2026 06:18
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A "smart money" investor bet $490,000 on Argentina to beat Austria in the World Cup group stage
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group Stage, Group J, Round 2: Argentina vs. Austria,” an account with total profits exceed
22/06/2026 06:01
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OKX’s World Cup Prediction Ecosystem Partners Continue to Step Up Their Support, Adding an Additional 380,000 U in a Dedicated Prize Pool for 8 Matches This Week
Svmuu News: According to official reports, OKX’s World Cup prediction event has added separate prize pools for a total of 8 matches this week, covering cryptocurrencies such as ZAMA, SPACE, NIGHT, and
22/06/2026 05:48
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A "smart money" investor bet $320,000 on Argentina to beat Austria in the World Cup group stage
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group Stage, Group J, Matchday 2: Argentina vs. Austria,” smart money generated over $660,0
22/06/2026 00:16
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predict.fun: Probability of “Egypt finishing first in World Cup Group G” rises to 66%, up 40% in 24 hours
According to monitoring data from the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, in the “World Cup Group G Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of Egypt finishing first in Group G has risen to 66
21/06/2026 23:49
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predict.fun: Probability of “Spain finishing first in World Cup Group H” rises to 87%, up 13% in 24 hours
According to monitoring data from the Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel, in the “World Cup Group H Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of Spain finishing first in Group H has risen to 8
21/06/2026 21:34
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $110,000 bet on CS2 IEM Cologne Major Final: Furia defeated Team Falcons
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event “CS2 IEM Cologne Major Final: Furia vs. Team Falcons,” smart money (0x89dd49bf87c41be422927372a0b75c6ab577f662) wi
21/06/2026 11:37
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Iranian media reports that ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to zero; 2. Adam Back: Strategy won’t go to zero; bearish views on STRC are unfounded; 3. Kalshi’s trading volume th
21/06/2026 07:30
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predict.fun: Probability that “the Netherlands will finish first in World Cup Group F” rises to 76%, up 32% in 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel, in the “World Cup Group F Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of the Netherlands finishing first in Group F has risen t
21/06/2026 05:42
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Polymarket’s probability that “Claude Fable 5 will resume service for U.S. customers by June 26” has dropped to 41%, down 16% over the past 24 hours.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability on Polymarket that “Claude Fable 5 will resume service for U.S. customers by June 26” has dropped to 41%, a 16% decline over the past
21/06/2026 04:08
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"The White-Haired Stock Guru" Offers a Sharp Analysis of Market Regulation: Additional Regulatory Scrutiny Is on the Horizon; The Impact of Polymarket KOLs’ Paid Marketing on X’s Algorithmic Behavior Should Be Investigated
Svmuu News: In response to today’s Wall Street Journal report alleging that “Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos,” “White-Haired Stock Guru
21/06/2026 03:43
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Polymarket has added a new bet: “Can BLG achieve the ‘Golden Path’ (Grand Slam)?” The current probability is provisionally reported at 9%.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, with the League of Legends MSI (Mid-Season Invitational) World Championship set to begin on June 28, Polymarket has added a new bet: “Will BLG achiev
21/06/2026 03:38
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Kalshi's trading volume this month is close to surpassing last month's nominal total trading volume of nearly $18 billion.
Svmuu News: KalshiData posted on X stating that Kalshi is about to surpass last month’s nominal trading volume of nearly $18 billion.
21/06/2026 03:27
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Open interest in prediction markets has hit a record high for two consecutive weeks, reaching $1.48 billion.
Svmuu News: a16z crypto posted on X that open interest in prediction markets reached $1.48 billion in the week ending June 15, setting a new all-time high for the second consecutive week. Unlike tradi
21/06/2026 03:26
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Polymarket’s probability that “GPT-5.6 will not be released to the public before June 28” has risen to 78%, up 67% in the last 24 hours.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability on Polymarket that “GPT-5.6 will not be released to the public before June 28” has risen to 78%, a 67% increase over the past 24 hour
21/06/2026 03:02
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Polymarket has been accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and videos showing fake profits
Svmuu News: The prediction market platform Polymarket has been accused of promoting its products on social media by having paid creators post videos of simulated trades and fake profits. Reports indic
20/06/2026 22:08
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $220,000 bet on CS2 IEM Cologne Major semifinals, where Furia defeated Aurora
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event “CS2 IEM Cologne Major Semifinals: Furia vs. Aurora,” smart money (0x89dd49bf87c41be422927372a0b75c6ab577f662), wh
20/06/2026 10:37
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Musk Secures a Record-Breaking 7800亿元 Compensation Package; 2. Analysis: U.S. SEC Plans to Approve Stock Tokenization Trading, Which May Trigger a Structural Reshaping of the U.S. Stock Market; 3.
20/06/2026 07:30
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a16z crypto: A combination of events, including the World Cup, drove weekly trading volume in prediction markets to a record high
Svmuu News: Data released by a16z crypto shows that weekly trading volume in prediction markets reached $10.8 billion for the first time, setting a new all-time high. This record-breaking growth was d
20/06/2026 04:41
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Polymarket’s probability that “the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by June 30” has dropped to 9%, down 9% over the past 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, the probability on Polymarket that “the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by June 30” has dropped to 9%, a 9% decline over the past 24 h
20/06/2026 04:39
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Forecasting the market
24H Trending
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Iranian Foreign Ministry: Technical Talks Between Iran and the U.S. Have Begun in Switzerland
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Market News: U.S. Vice President Vance is set to deliver a speech in Switzerland following his first round of talks with Iran
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Iranian President: Iran Negotiated with Dignity and Made No Concessions
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The Central Bank of Iran has begun pushing for the release of Iran's frozen assets
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OKX’s World Cup Prediction Ecosystem Partners Continue to Step Up Their Support, Adding an Additional 380,000 U in a Dedicated Prize Pool for 8 Matches This Week
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How can I buy and trade ASY? On which exchanges is ASY listed?
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Svmuu Evening Brief
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
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Iranian Media: Iranian President to Visit Pakistan on Tuesday
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Iranian Central Bank Governor: "Significant Progress" Made in Unfreezing Iranian Assets
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