Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that in the prediction event "Will Russia and Ukraine achieve a ceasefire before March 31, 2026?", the probability of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by the end of March has declined to 2%. The 24-hour trading volume for this market is approximately $355,000, with a total trading volume reaching $24.726 million.
The probability for this event had previously risen but has been continuously declining this month, while trading volume continues to expand. Based on current market pricing, mainstream traders still view a short-term Russia-Ukraine ceasefire as an extremely low-probability event.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.