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Analysis: Bitcoin's Probability of Dropping to $45,000 This Year Now Exceeds That of Returning to $100,000; Short-Term Outlook is Weak
21/03/2026 20:55
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According to a post on X by prediction market Polymarket, the current probability of Bitcoin dropping to $45,000 within the year is now higher than that of it returning to $100,000, indicating a weak short-term outlook. On its platform's prediction for "What price will Bitcoin reach in 2026?", the current probability of a drop to $45,000 stands at 47%, while the probability of a return to $100,000 is now 38%.
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