Federal Reserve
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Analysis: Decline in US Initial Jobless Claims Indicates Labor Market Resilience
Svmuureported that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits decreased last week, indicating a degree of resilience in the labor market and providing room for the Federal Reserve to foc
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. “Fed Whisperer”: Rate cut discussions are nearly over, and the Fed has begun seriously discussing the possibility of a rate hike; 2. SpaceX discloses holding 18,712 BTC, ranking as the seventh larg
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Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes: Elevated Energy Prices to Continue Driving Upward Pressure on Overall Inflation in the Near Term
Svmuu reported that the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed participants expect elevated energy prices to continue exerting upward pressure on overall inflation in the near term. Participant
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"The Fed Whisperer": Rate Cut Discussions All but Ended, Fed Begins Seriously Discussing Possibility of Rate Hikes
SvmuuNews "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos stated that Federal Reserve officials have almost ceased discussing the issue that dominated policy debates over the past two years—whether to cut interest rate
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Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes: More policymakers are ready to pave the way for interest rate hikes
Svmuureports that Federal Reserve officials' concerns over the Iranian war pushing up inflation further intensified last month, with a growing number of officials indicating the Fed should pave the wa
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FOMC Minutes Turn Hawkish: Rate-Cut Discussions Fade from View, Risk of Rate Hikes Re-emerges
Svmuu reported, citing analysis from the Wall Street Journal, that the minutes of the latest Federal Reserve meeting show officials have largely moved beyond the question that dominated FOMC debates o
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Federal Reserve Minutes to Reveal "Rare Deep Divisions," Walsh May Face Rate-Hike Debate
SvmuuNews The Federal Reserve will reach a leadership transition point on May 22nd, while a set of meeting minutes released at 2 AM Beijing time on Thursday will preview the apparent rift emerging wit
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Approximately 60 addresses holding over 10,000 ETH have liquidated their positions in the past two months; 2. Trump’s digital assets advisor: The announcement of a US Bitcoin strategic reserve is e
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Trump directs the Federal Reserve to evaluate granting crypto companies master account access
Svmuu reported that on Tuesday, Trump signed an executive order titled "Integrating Financial Technology Innovation into the Regulatory Framework," directing the Federal Reserve to evaluate options al
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Kevin Warsh on the Brink of Taking Office, Accelerating Completion of Financial Asset Divestment Pledge
Svmuu: Kevin Warsh has sold off most of the financial assets he pledged to divest before assuming the role of Federal Reserve Chair. The latest government documents show this is a crucial step to reso
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The interest rate swap market indicates that the probability of an interest rate hike by the end of 2026 is over 80% Federal Reserve
Svmuu reported that the interest rate swap market indicates a more than 80% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026. (Jin Shi)
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S&P: BOJ Could Raise Rates to 1.5% by 2027
Svmuu News: Harumi Taguchi, an economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, stated that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its policy rate from the current 0.75% to 1.0% in July, with further hikes in
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Federal Reserve Report: U.S. Cryptocurrency Adoption Rises to 10% in 2025, Reaching a High Not Seen Since 2022
Svmuu reports that the latest Federal Reserve report shows 10% of the U.S. population used or invested in cryptocurrency in 2025, the highest level since 2022.
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Economist: Global Bond Yields Rise, Reflecting Inflation Will Remain Higher for Longer
Svmuu News According to a report by Anthony Willis, senior economist at Columbia Threadneedle Investments, financial conditions have tightened—a trend clearly visible in the global bond market, where
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Analyst: Interest rates are highly sensitive to energy prices; once navigation resumes in the Strait of Hormuz, interest rates are expected to drop significantly
Svmuu reports that Navellier & Associates analyst Louis Navellier stated in a report that interest rates have become extremely sensitive to energy prices, and once navigation resumes in the Strait of
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HSBC: Even if the US and Iran cease fire, more central banks may still raise interest rates
Svmuu News HSBC economists Janet Henry and Bethan Ellis pointed out in a report that even if the US and Iran reach a peace agreement in the short term, more central banks are still expected to raise p
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. US SEC could launch a regulatory framework for tokenized stocks as soon as this week, with Wall Street accelerating the layout of on-chain securities; 2. Trump: Gulf allies have requested a two-to-
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CICC: Federal Reserve Interest rate cuts unlikely this year
Svmuu reported that a research note from CICC stated that recent U.S. inflation data has come in above expectations multiple times, while the job market has stabilized. Bond selling has occurred, and
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Donald Trump will preside over Wash's swearing-in ceremony at the White House
Svmuureports that, according to the Wall Street Journal, White House officials revealed that Trump will preside over the swearing-in ceremony for incoming Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh at the W
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QCP: BTC Falls Below $80K Support After Over $4 Billion in IBIT Options Expire
Svmuu, QCP Capital released its latest market report, stating that after a prolonged consolidation around the $80,000 range, BTC has fallen below $78,000. The "long gamma" effect brought about by IBIT
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Yi Lihua: Wait patiently for buying opportunities; the next phase may be the most panicked stage in the crypto market. 2. Samsung Electronics Union: Strike will proceed as planned. 3. US Crypto Mar
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Analysis: Bitcoin Drops Below $77,000 as Geopolitical Conflicts and Inflation Concerns Trigger Sell-Off
Svmuu reports that Bitcoin has fallen below the $77,000 mark, hitting a low of approximately $76,720. Analysts attribute the market decline primarily to multiple macroeconomic pressures, including the
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Yardeni Research: The Federal Reserve should abandon its dovish stance at the June meeting
Svmuu News Yardeni Research stated that as investors grow increasingly concerned about inflation, the Federal Reserve needs to keep pace with the bond market, or else face the risk of losing control o
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UST sell-off panic continues to spread: Korean stock market triggers circuit breaker, gold loses $4,500 mark
Svmuu reports that after the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield surged past the 20-year high of 5%, the sell-off panic continued to spread on Monday. The yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond soared
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that without a significant rebound in ETF inflows, its bullish price target of $5,200 for gold in the second half of the year would become much harder to achieve.Morg
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BIT: Institutional capital flows have turned to net outflows over the past month, and buying interest may be slow to recover
Svmuu News: BIT released an analysis today stating that over the past 30 days, combined capital flows for stablecoins, Strategy, and the “Bitcoin” ETF have shifted to net outflows, reaching a record h
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
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ICBA Asks the Kansas City Fed to Reevaluate Kraken's Limited-Use Fed Account
Svmuu News: The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, requesting that it reassess Kraken Financial’s compliance prior to the exp
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
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Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index is nearing a breakout above the upper boundary of its trading range; BTC is under pressure and may continue its negative correlation with the DXY.
Svmuu News: Bitcoin, often viewed as the “rival” to the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), is facing sustained pressure, with the market watching closely as the DXY approaches a breakout above the upper boundar
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Market pricing indicates Federal Reserve that expectations for an interest rate hike are rising, and a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has already been fully priced in.
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. are rising, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September now fully priced in. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1: The 2026 U.S. primary funding battle intensifies: A crypto super PAC is accused of “covertly shaping candidates’ narratives,” sparking controversy; 2: Bloomberg analysts: The Hong Kong 2x SK Hynix
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Federal Reserve Hawkish Dot Plot Shocks the Market: Gold Stages a V-Shaped Rebound; Bitcoin’s Key Range Is $64,000–$65,000
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, br
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Analysis: The continued flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve sends a hawkish signal; Bitcoin’s short-term rebound potential may be limited.
Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasu
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Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027
Svmuu News: Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027, having previously forecast a 25-basis-point rate cut in March. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Bitcoin’s reserves are sufficient to cover 32 years of dividend payments; 2. Goldman Sachs: If inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as ear
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Ansem: A hawkish FOMC could trigger a broad sell-off in risk assets, and BTC may retest the lower end of its trading range
Svmuu News: Trader Ansem posted that Warsh and a hawkish FOMC could put pressure on risk assets. He expects risk assets to decline across the board tomorrow, noting that BTC has already shown relative
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1: Federal Reserve: Interest rates held steady as expected; 2: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect rate hikes in 2026; 3: Ansem: Bullish on SpaceX becoming the world’s
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Wash: I hope the market will price assets based on real economic conditions, rather than following interpretations from Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that he hopes financial markets will price securities based on their own assessment of the economy, rather than attempting to price them based o
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Wash: Federal Reserve—No one wants an interest rate hike today
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash stated at a press conference that no one at the Federal Reserve. wanted to raise interest rates in the near term. In response to a question suggesting that cur
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Unable to Provide Any Forward-Looking Guidance on Next Steps
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: “I cannot provide any forward-looking guidance on our next steps; we have abandoned forward-looking guidance, and my personal submission of a dot plot would n
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target; persistently high prices are a burden, and recent history should not be seen as a prelude to inflation problems. (Jin S
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Middle East Conflict Reshapes Federal Reserve Forecasts: Nearly Half of Policymakers Now Expect Rate Hikes; Inflation Forecasts Revised Up Across the Board
Svmuu News: Foreign media analysis indicates that nearly half of the policymakers at Federal Reserve no longer believe that, amid soaring oil prices following the war in Iran, simply keeping borrowing
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Two officials did not submit their 2028 pie chart projections
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of th
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Federal Reserve
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