Federal Reserve
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Analysts: Market Concerns Over Fed Rate Cut Path Intensify, Gold Prices Set for Weekly Decline
Svmuu News On Friday, New York gold futures fell below $5,100 per ounce, poised for a weekly decline. A stronger U.S. dollar, rising oil prices, and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy are
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Analysis: Tonight's PCE May Show Unprecedented Anomalies in Decades, Another Hurdle for Fed's Rate Cut Path
Svmuu News At 8:30 PM Beijing time on Friday, the United States will release the January PCE Price Index. The market expects the PCE data to rise 2.9% year-on-year, unchanged from the previous value,
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U.S. Senate Majority Leader says the Clarity Act is not expected to move forward before April
Svmuu News: U.S. Senate Majority Leader John Thune stated that the Clarity Act, a bill aimed at regulating the crypto market, is not expected to pass the Senate Banking Committee before April. The bil
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U.S. Senate Votes to Pass Housing Bill with Prohibition on Central Bank Digital Currency
Svmuu News The U.S. Senate passed a housing bill with a vote of 89 to 10. The bill includes an addendum prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the e
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U.S. Senate Passes Bill Clause Proposing Ban on CBDC Issuance, Ban May Last Until 2030
Svmuu News The U.S. Senate passed a bipartisan-supported housing bill with 89 votes in favor and 10 against, which includes a clause prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a Central Bank Digital
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Analysis: Bitcoin Holds Above $70,000 as Soaring Oil Prices and Credit Risks Hit U.S. Stocks
Svmuu News In the context of crude oil prices surging over 10% on Thursday, approaching $100 per barrel, Bitcoin still managed to hold above the $70,000 level. U.S. President Trump stated that he is m
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Investors are concerned that the Middle East conflict could reignite inflation, and the market no longer fully bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year
Svmuu News Bond traders are no longer fully pricing in expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026. Interest rate swaps linked to Fed policy meeting dates show that traders on T
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Traders no longer fully price in the expectation of a single Fed rate cut in 2026
Svmuu News According to market sources: Traders no longer fully price in the expectation of a single Fed rate cut in 2026. (Jin10)
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Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: Plans to Slightly Lower Capital Requirements for Large Banks
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Bowman said on Thursday that after revisions to a comprehensive bank capital rule, capital requirements for large banks will be slightly r
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Reuters Survey: Majority of Economists Expect Fed to Cut Rates by 25 Basis Points Next Quarter
Svmuu News Reuters survey: Among 96 surveyed economists, 63 (compared to 51 out of 101 in the February survey) indicated that the Federal Reserve will lower the federal funds rate by 25 basis points n
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"Fed Mouthpiece": White House May Oppose Powell's Continuation as Acting Fed Chair
Svmuu News According to "Fed Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos, if Fed Chair Powell's term ends, the White House appears likely to oppose or challenge his status as an interim chair (referred to as "acting" c
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Institutions: Iran Conflict Supports Short-Term Dollar Trend
Svmuu News Monex Europe analysts stated in a report that unless there are credible signs of de-escalation in the Iran war, the US dollar may continue to gain support in the short term. This conflict i
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U.S. Core CPI in February Shows Slowest Growth in Nearly Five Years
Svmuu News: U.S. core inflation slowed in February compared to the previous month, indicating that price pressures had eased before the outbreak of the Iran war. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of La
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Before the CPI release, the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 99.3%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 0.7%, and the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 99.3%. The p
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UBS: Lags in the data suggest inflation should remain moderate tonight
Svmuu News: Paul Donovan, Chief Economist at the UBS, noted that while the U.S. Consumer Price Index data for February predates the recent market turmoil, it remains crucial for the Federal Reserve’s
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Arthur Hayes: Will Not Increase Cryptocurrency Holdings Until the Fed Resumes Money Printing
Svmuu News Arthur Hayes recently stated in a podcast that, although he is bullish on Bitcoin in the long term (predicting it will reach $250,000 by the end of 2026), he will not purchase any Bitcoin u
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TD Cowen: US Congress Nears Permanent Ban on Fed Issuing CBDC
Svmuu News Investment bank TD Cowen stated that the US Congress may be close to passing legislation to permanently prohibit the Federal Reserve from issuing a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). Thi
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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 99.4%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 0.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.4%. The probability
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Bank of America: Sustained Oil Price Shock Could Pave the Way for Fed's Easing Policy
Svmuu News According to a report from Bank of America, the market currently views rising oil prices as a greater inflation threat, but supply shocks actually pose risks to both aspects of the Fed's du
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Analysis: Oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy may drive Bitcoin the next phase of market movements
Svmuu News: Analysts note that the next phase of Bitcoin’s price movement is increasingly being influenced by macroeconomic factors—including oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve mone
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CPI and PCE Data to Be Released This Week, Unlikely to Shake Fed's Wait-and-See Stance
Svmuu News According to the February non-farm payroll data, employment performance was weaker than expected, forming a stark contrast to the market's general expectation of strong resilience. However,
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Analysis: Iran Situation and Short Squeeze Jointly Led to Recent CRCL Surge
Svmuu News Circle (CRCL) stock price rose 9.7% on Monday, with a cumulative gain of 86% over the past month. Analysts noted that the escalating situation in Iran has caused crude oil prices to rise by
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Bank of America: February U.S. CPI Unlikely to Alter Federal Reserve Short-Term Policy Stance
Svmuu News: Bank of America stated in a report that the U.S. February CPI report is unlikely to alter the Federal Reserve’s short-term policy stance. The bank noted that the February CPI report should
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Analysis: Bitcoins Holds Steady at $67,000 with No Signs of Panic Selling; Crypto Market May See Bullish Reversal Amid Oil Price Shock
Svmuu News: Despite the surge in oil prices triggered by the situation in the Middle East, Bitcoins are still trading at around $67,000, with no signs of panic selling, suggesting the market may have
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that without a significant rebound in ETF inflows, its bullish price target of $5,200 for gold in the second half of the year would become much harder to achieve.Morg
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BIT: Institutional capital flows have turned to net outflows over the past month, and buying interest may be slow to recover
Svmuu News: BIT released an analysis today stating that over the past 30 days, combined capital flows for stablecoins, Strategy, and the “Bitcoin” ETF have shifted to net outflows, reaching a record h
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
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ICBA Asks the Kansas City Fed to Reevaluate Kraken's Limited-Use Fed Account
Svmuu News: The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, requesting that it reassess Kraken Financial’s compliance prior to the exp
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
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Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index is nearing a breakout above the upper boundary of its trading range; BTC is under pressure and may continue its negative correlation with the DXY.
Svmuu News: Bitcoin, often viewed as the “rival” to the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), is facing sustained pressure, with the market watching closely as the DXY approaches a breakout above the upper boundar
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Market pricing indicates Federal Reserve that expectations for an interest rate hike are rising, and a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has already been fully priced in.
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. are rising, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September now fully priced in. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1: The 2026 U.S. primary funding battle intensifies: A crypto super PAC is accused of “covertly shaping candidates’ narratives,” sparking controversy; 2: Bloomberg analysts: The Hong Kong 2x SK Hynix
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Federal Reserve Hawkish Dot Plot Shocks the Market: Gold Stages a V-Shaped Rebound; Bitcoin’s Key Range Is $64,000–$65,000
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, br
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Analysis: The continued flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve sends a hawkish signal; Bitcoin’s short-term rebound potential may be limited.
Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasu
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Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027
Svmuu News: Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027, having previously forecast a 25-basis-point rate cut in March. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Bitcoin’s reserves are sufficient to cover 32 years of dividend payments; 2. Goldman Sachs: If inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as ear
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Ansem: A hawkish FOMC could trigger a broad sell-off in risk assets, and BTC may retest the lower end of its trading range
Svmuu News: Trader Ansem posted that Warsh and a hawkish FOMC could put pressure on risk assets. He expects risk assets to decline across the board tomorrow, noting that BTC has already shown relative
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1: Federal Reserve: Interest rates held steady as expected; 2: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect rate hikes in 2026; 3: Ansem: Bullish on SpaceX becoming the world’s
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Wash: I hope the market will price assets based on real economic conditions, rather than following interpretations from Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that he hopes financial markets will price securities based on their own assessment of the economy, rather than attempting to price them based o
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Wash: Federal Reserve—No one wants an interest rate hike today
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash stated at a press conference that no one at the Federal Reserve. wanted to raise interest rates in the near term. In response to a question suggesting that cur
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Unable to Provide Any Forward-Looking Guidance on Next Steps
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: “I cannot provide any forward-looking guidance on our next steps; we have abandoned forward-looking guidance, and my personal submission of a dot plot would n
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target; persistently high prices are a burden, and recent history should not be seen as a prelude to inflation problems. (Jin S
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Middle East Conflict Reshapes Federal Reserve Forecasts: Nearly Half of Policymakers Now Expect Rate Hikes; Inflation Forecasts Revised Up Across the Board
Svmuu News: Foreign media analysis indicates that nearly half of the policymakers at Federal Reserve no longer believe that, amid soaring oil prices following the war in Iran, simply keeping borrowing
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Two officials did not submit their 2028 pie chart projections
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of th
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Federal Reserve
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