Federal Reserve
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Analysis: Federal Reserves may face a dilemma regarding their dual mission
Svmuu News: Benjamin Louvet, an analyst at OFI Investment Management, stated in a report that the Federal Reserve may face a dilemma regarding its dual mandate of employment and inflation: should it r
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U.S. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Slightly Increase, Providing Fed Room to Maintain Interest Rates Unchanged
Svmuu News: The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits increased slightly last week, indicating that the labor market remains stable while also providing the Federal Reserve with room
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Reuters Survey: Majority of Economists Expect Fed to Cut Rates 1-2 Times This Year
Svmuu News According to a Reuters survey: Among 82 economists, 65 (approximately 79%) believe the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates one to two times this year. (Jin10)
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Fed Advisor: Warsh May Need Five Years to Shrink Fed's Balance Sheet
Svmuu According to a top financial economist, Kevin Warsh, nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, aims to significantly reduce the Fed's $6.6 trillion balance sheet, but he may need more than one term to
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Analysis: Market Focuses on Bitcoin's $72,000 to $82,000 "Vacuum Zone," Upward Momentum Still Awaits Confirmation
Svmuu News Bitfinex Alpha's latest report points out that Bitcoin's price action showed significant divergence last week. Although it once surged to a high of $76,000, it subsequently retreated under
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K33: Bitcoin's Sideways Consolidation Signals Bottom Formation, Receding Selling Pressure May Trigger Structural Reversal
Svmuu News Cryptocurrency research firm K33 suggests that Bitcoin's recent sustained sideways consolidation may indicate a shift in market structure. As selling pressure diminishes, the market could b
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U.S. Media: U.S. Department of Justice Admits Lack of Evidence in Investigation into Powell
Svmuu News According to a report by The Washington Post, court records show that a senior aide to U.S. Department of Justice official Jeannie Pirro admitted during a closed-door hearing this month tha
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Goldman Sachs Raises Probability of US Recession to 30%
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs stated that due to the surge in oil and natural gas prices, the probability of the US economy falling into a recession within the next 12 months has risen to 30%, an increase
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Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: There may be situations where interest rate hikes are needed
Svmuu News Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: There may be situations where interest rate hikes are needed. (Jin10)
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Morgan Stanley currently holds a neutral stance on US Treasuries
Svmuu News Morgan Stanley strategists stated in a report that they currently recommend maintaining a neutral strategy towards US Treasuries until the impact of the Middle East conflict on the economy
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Spot Gold Nearly Erases All Gains for the Year
Svmuu News On Monday, spot gold once fell to $4,320.30 per ounce—just over a dollar higher than its price at the end of last year, nearly erasing all gains for the year. Meanwhile, the war in the Midd
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10x Research: Bitcoin Falls Below $69,000, Derivatives Market Turns Defensive, Downside Risks Intensify
Svmuu reported that 10x Research posted an analysis on platform X, pointing out that Bitcoin has fallen below the critical price level of $69,000, indicating a significant shift in market structure wi
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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in April is 87.6%, while the probability of a rate hike is 12.4%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 12.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 87.6%. The pr
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Analysis: Trump's "48-Hour Ultimatum" to Iran Triggers Risk-Off Sentiment, Leading to Broad Decline in Major Crypto Assets
Svmuu News According to , influenced by Trump issuing a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran and threatening to strike power facilities, Bitcoin experienced a rapid decline over the weekend, falling below the $6
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Institution: The Core of Current Gold Price Movement Lies in the Re-constraint of Energy Price Increases on Interest Rate Expectations
Svmuu News According to Xinda Futures, from the current drivers, the core of gold price movement lies in the re-constraint of energy price increases on interest rate expectations. As the Middle East c
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HSBC: Maintains Expectation for Fed to Hold Rates Steady This Year and Next
Svmuu News HSBC stated that the Federal Reserve once again kept its policy rate unchanged at the March meeting, remaining at 3.50%-3.75%, and hinted at adopting a "wait-and-see" approach. Persistent i
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Bitcoin mining difficulty dropped to 133.79 T, a decrease of 7.76%; 2. Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $41.9715 million yesterday, marking three consecutive days of net outflows; 3. A
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Analysis: "Fed Rate Hike" Nightmare May Come True, Bank of America Says Three Conditions Must Be Met First
Svmuu News Wall Street is concerned that escalating conflicts in the Middle East could lead to a surge in international oil prices, potentially reigniting U.S. inflation and prompting the Federal Rese
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The market expects the Fed is likely to raise interest rates in December
Svmuu News According to short-term interest rate futures prices, the market expects the Fed is likely to raise interest rates in December. (Jin10)
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Traders expect a 50% probability of a Fed rate hike by October
Svmuu News According to market news: Traders expect a 50% probability of a Fed rate hike by October. (Jin10)
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Iran War Intensifies Fed Divisions: Waller Turns Cautious, Bowman Sticks to Three Rate Cuts This Year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller revealed that he would have voted against holding rates steady again this week, but paused due to the Iran war; Vice Chair for Supervision Michel
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller: "Emergency Withdrawal" of Rate Cut Vote Due to Oil Price Surge
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that, given the unexpected unemployment situation in February, he had originally planned to vote in favor of a rate cut at this week's central bank me
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Fed Governor Waller: If Reserve Demand Declines, Tapering Could Be Discussed
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that if reserve demand declines, tapering could be discussed. The Fed has no reason to create a reserve shortage, and an adverse shock could lead businesses to st
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Fed Governor Waller: Will Advocate for Rate Cuts if Conditions Develop Favorably
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that the market has not yet shown signs of expectations becoming unanchored. If conditions develop relatively smoothly and the labor market weakens, he will begin
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that without a significant rebound in ETF inflows, its bullish price target of $5,200 for gold in the second half of the year would become much harder to achieve.Morg
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BIT: Institutional capital flows have turned to net outflows over the past month, and buying interest may be slow to recover
Svmuu News: BIT released an analysis today stating that over the past 30 days, combined capital flows for stablecoins, Strategy, and the “Bitcoin” ETF have shifted to net outflows, reaching a record h
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
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ICBA Asks the Kansas City Fed to Reevaluate Kraken's Limited-Use Fed Account
Svmuu News: The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, requesting that it reassess Kraken Financial’s compliance prior to the exp
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
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Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index is nearing a breakout above the upper boundary of its trading range; BTC is under pressure and may continue its negative correlation with the DXY.
Svmuu News: Bitcoin, often viewed as the “rival” to the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), is facing sustained pressure, with the market watching closely as the DXY approaches a breakout above the upper boundar
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Market pricing indicates Federal Reserve that expectations for an interest rate hike are rising, and a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has already been fully priced in.
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. are rising, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September now fully priced in. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1: The 2026 U.S. primary funding battle intensifies: A crypto super PAC is accused of “covertly shaping candidates’ narratives,” sparking controversy; 2: Bloomberg analysts: The Hong Kong 2x SK Hynix
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Federal Reserve Hawkish Dot Plot Shocks the Market: Gold Stages a V-Shaped Rebound; Bitcoin’s Key Range Is $64,000–$65,000
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, br
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Analysis: The continued flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve sends a hawkish signal; Bitcoin’s short-term rebound potential may be limited.
Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasu
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Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027
Svmuu News: Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027, having previously forecast a 25-basis-point rate cut in March. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Bitcoin’s reserves are sufficient to cover 32 years of dividend payments; 2. Goldman Sachs: If inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as ear
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Ansem: A hawkish FOMC could trigger a broad sell-off in risk assets, and BTC may retest the lower end of its trading range
Svmuu News: Trader Ansem posted that Warsh and a hawkish FOMC could put pressure on risk assets. He expects risk assets to decline across the board tomorrow, noting that BTC has already shown relative
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1: Federal Reserve: Interest rates held steady as expected; 2: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect rate hikes in 2026; 3: Ansem: Bullish on SpaceX becoming the world’s
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Wash: I hope the market will price assets based on real economic conditions, rather than following interpretations from Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that he hopes financial markets will price securities based on their own assessment of the economy, rather than attempting to price them based o
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Wash: Federal Reserve—No one wants an interest rate hike today
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash stated at a press conference that no one at the Federal Reserve. wanted to raise interest rates in the near term. In response to a question suggesting that cur
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Unable to Provide Any Forward-Looking Guidance on Next Steps
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: “I cannot provide any forward-looking guidance on our next steps; we have abandoned forward-looking guidance, and my personal submission of a dot plot would n
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target; persistently high prices are a burden, and recent history should not be seen as a prelude to inflation problems. (Jin S
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Middle East Conflict Reshapes Federal Reserve Forecasts: Nearly Half of Policymakers Now Expect Rate Hikes; Inflation Forecasts Revised Up Across the Board
Svmuu News: Foreign media analysis indicates that nearly half of the policymakers at Federal Reserve no longer believe that, amid soaring oil prices following the war in Iran, simply keeping borrowing
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Two officials did not submit their 2028 pie chart projections
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of th
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Federal Reserve
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