Federal Reserve
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Hassett: The Fed Still Has Room to Cut Rates, This Outlook Will Be Very Solid
Svmuu News According to Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, the Federal Reserve still has room to cut interest rates, and this outlook will be very solid. He also stated th
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Citigroup: Expects March Core PCE Month-over-Month Rate at 0.3%
Svmuu News Compared to the PCE indicator favored by the Fed, core CPI has consistently shown unusually small increases. Based on today's CPI data, economists at Citigroup preliminarily estimate that t
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Goldman Sachs: The Fed Has Room for Patience, Inflation Eases Temporarily but Pressure Remains
Svmuu News: Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo from Goldman Sachs Asset Management stated that markets had already prepared for strong inflation data, so today's data, which aligned with expectations, provided
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"Fed Mouthpiece": March Core CPI Slightly Below Expectations, But Single-Month Data Insufficient to Alter Fed's Assessment
Svmuu News "Fed Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos: The US March core CPI was slightly below expectations at 0.196%. However, a single month's data doesn't say much. The Fed wants to see energy prices decline
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Reuters: Market Pricing Continues to Bet on Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged Throughout 2026
Svmuu News According to Reuters: Market pricing continues to bet that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026. (Jin10)
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Bitcoin Strengthens Slightly After CPI Release, Remains Volatile Above $72,000
Svmuu News According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin's price showed a slight strengthening after the release of U.S. March inflation data. Overall, the March CPI rose 0.9% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, m
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Market pricing shows increased bets on one Fed rate cut this year
Svmuu News Market pricing indicates that bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates once this year have increased, with U.S. short-term interest rate futures paring some gains after the CPI re
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Probability of Fed holding rates unchanged in April before CPI release is 98.4%
Svmuu News According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. The probabilit
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Fed's Daly Preempts High Inflation Ahead of CPI Data Release
Svmuu News Federal Reserve official Daly stated that even before the oil price shock, the United States itself had work to do in combating inflation, and now this work simply requires more time. If th
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Analysis: Bitcoin Faces Resistance After Touching $72,000, CPI and US-Iran Talks Emerge as Key Variables
Svmuu News Bitcoin has risen nearly 7% since Sunday, with its upward momentum slowing after reaching the $72,000 range, and institutional fund flows remain unclear. The market is focused on two major
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Fed's Daly: If US-Iran Ceasefire Holds, CPI Data Becomes Irrelevant
Svmuu News Fed's Daly stated that the real question is whether the ceasefire can be sustained. If it can, then the CPI data becomes irrelevant. (Jin10)
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Fed's Daly: Sees Lower Probability of Rate Hikes Compared to Cuts or Holding Rates Steady
Svmuu News Fed's Daly believes the probability of a rate hike is lower than that of a cut or holding rates steady. If inflation remains above expectations for an extended period, the Fed will maintain
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Analysis: Multiple Factors Support Long-Term Bullish Trend for Gold, Year-End Gold Price May Reach $5,800
According to Svmuu, institutions including ANZ and Goldman Sachs state that gold could still rebound in the long term even if the Middle East war disrupts markets. Analysts from various institutions b
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Analyst: CPI Data May Be "Ignored," US-Iran Negotiations Become the Sole Variable
Svmuu News: Foreign exchange analyst Giuseppe Dellamotta stated that, given the market focus is on US-Iran negotiations and the March inflation data increase is widely perceived as war-driven, the mar
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ING: US Inflation Data May Support Dollar Trend
Svmuu News According to Francesco Pesole, an analyst at ING, the US dollar may gain support if the US CPI data shows a significant acceleration in inflation in March, driven by rising energy prices du
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Yilihua: Macro and Policy Expectations Disappointed Coupled with Cyclical Factors May Lead to Correction Exceeding Original Plan
Svmuu News Liquid Capital founder Yili Hua stated in a Binance Square live stream that this year's market pressure is related to the confluence of multiple factors, including the unfulfilled expectati
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BIT: Bitcoin is in a clearly oversold zone, but it's impossible to determine if the downtrend has ended.
Svmuu News BIT's weekly report indicates that the announcement of a ceasefire has led to increased inflationary pressures, and expectations for a transition in the Federal Reserve Chairmanship are hea
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Analysts Maintain Bitcoin Target at $80,000, PCE Inflation Data Boosts Market Sentiment
Svmuu News The latest US PCE inflation data largely met expectations, alleviating market uncertainty. Bitcoin's price has stabilized after previously touching around $73,000. Data shows that the core
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Federal Reserve The most closely watched inflation gauge remains elevated, which may hinder efforts to cut interest rates in the coming months
Svmuu News: Shortly before the outbreak of the war in Iran, the inflation indicator most favored by the Federal Reserve. maintained a steady, relatively rapid pace of growth, highlighting the challeng
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Hassett: Iran-US Dialogue Not Meaningless, Fed Balance Sheet Reduction Should Be Gradual
Svmuu News According to Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, the Iran-US dialogue is not meaningless, and the United States is cooperating with Iran on a potential major agr
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Hassett: Powell Not Expected to Remain as Federal Reserve Governor
Svmuu News According to Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, it is expected that Jerome Powell will not remain as a Governor of the Federal Reserve, and it is confirme
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Bitcoin $80,000 Call Bets Heat Up as Market Bets on Reversal Align with Rate Cut Expectations
Svmuu News As market sentiment warms up, the Bitcoin options market is showing a clear shift. Call options with a strike price of $80,000 on Deribit have become the most popular trade, with open inter
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Iranian media: The Strait of Hormuz has been completely closed; 2. Fed's "whisperer" Nick Timiraos: "Vast majority" of officials believe inflation may ease slower than expected; 3. Ethereum Foundat
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"Fed Whisperer": Ceasefire Agreement Makes Fed's Decision More Difficult
Svmuu News "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos wrote that the ceasefire between the US and Iran provides an opportunity to resolve the serious threat currently posed to the global economy. However, for the
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that without a significant rebound in ETF inflows, its bullish price target of $5,200 for gold in the second half of the year would become much harder to achieve.Morg
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BIT: Institutional capital flows have turned to net outflows over the past month, and buying interest may be slow to recover
Svmuu News: BIT released an analysis today stating that over the past 30 days, combined capital flows for stablecoins, Strategy, and the “Bitcoin” ETF have shifted to net outflows, reaching a record h
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
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ICBA Asks the Kansas City Fed to Reevaluate Kraken's Limited-Use Fed Account
Svmuu News: The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, requesting that it reassess Kraken Financial’s compliance prior to the exp
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
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Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index is nearing a breakout above the upper boundary of its trading range; BTC is under pressure and may continue its negative correlation with the DXY.
Svmuu News: Bitcoin, often viewed as the “rival” to the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), is facing sustained pressure, with the market watching closely as the DXY approaches a breakout above the upper boundar
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Market pricing indicates Federal Reserve that expectations for an interest rate hike are rising, and a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has already been fully priced in.
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. are rising, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September now fully priced in. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1: The 2026 U.S. primary funding battle intensifies: A crypto super PAC is accused of “covertly shaping candidates’ narratives,” sparking controversy; 2: Bloomberg analysts: The Hong Kong 2x SK Hynix
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Federal Reserve Hawkish Dot Plot Shocks the Market: Gold Stages a V-Shaped Rebound; Bitcoin’s Key Range Is $64,000–$65,000
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, br
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Analysis: The continued flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve sends a hawkish signal; Bitcoin’s short-term rebound potential may be limited.
Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasu
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Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027
Svmuu News: Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027, having previously forecast a 25-basis-point rate cut in March. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Bitcoin’s reserves are sufficient to cover 32 years of dividend payments; 2. Goldman Sachs: If inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as ear
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Ansem: A hawkish FOMC could trigger a broad sell-off in risk assets, and BTC may retest the lower end of its trading range
Svmuu News: Trader Ansem posted that Warsh and a hawkish FOMC could put pressure on risk assets. He expects risk assets to decline across the board tomorrow, noting that BTC has already shown relative
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1: Federal Reserve: Interest rates held steady as expected; 2: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect rate hikes in 2026; 3: Ansem: Bullish on SpaceX becoming the world’s
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Wash: I hope the market will price assets based on real economic conditions, rather than following interpretations from Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that he hopes financial markets will price securities based on their own assessment of the economy, rather than attempting to price them based o
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Wash: Federal Reserve—No one wants an interest rate hike today
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash stated at a press conference that no one at the Federal Reserve. wanted to raise interest rates in the near term. In response to a question suggesting that cur
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Unable to Provide Any Forward-Looking Guidance on Next Steps
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: “I cannot provide any forward-looking guidance on our next steps; we have abandoned forward-looking guidance, and my personal submission of a dot plot would n
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target; persistently high prices are a burden, and recent history should not be seen as a prelude to inflation problems. (Jin S
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Middle East Conflict Reshapes Federal Reserve Forecasts: Nearly Half of Policymakers Now Expect Rate Hikes; Inflation Forecasts Revised Up Across the Board
Svmuu News: Foreign media analysis indicates that nearly half of the policymakers at Federal Reserve no longer believe that, amid soaring oil prices following the war in Iran, simply keeping borrowing
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Two officials did not submit their 2028 pie chart projections
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of th
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Federal Reserve
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