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Federal Reserve
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Analysis: US April nonfarm payrolls add 115,000, beating expectations for the second consecutive month
Svmuu reported that data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday showed the U.S. economy added 115,000 jobs in April, surpassing Wall Street expectations for the second consecutive m
08/05/2026 08:38
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U.S. interest rate futures indicate a slight decline in the probability of a rate hike in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: U.S. interest rate futures show a slight decrease in the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. (Jin 10)
08/05/2026 08:35
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Before the nonfarm payroll data release, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June was 96.9%
Svmuureports that before the release of the nonfarm payroll data, according to the CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in June is 3.1%, while the proba
08/05/2026 08:23
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Federal Reserve Governor Milan: Powell Should Only Briefly Stay as Governor After Stepping Down as Chair
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Milan said on Friday that he hopes current Fed Chair Jerome Powell will only briefly remain as a governor after stepping down from the chairmanship. Milan stated:
08/05/2026 07:58
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Federal Reserve Board Member Milan: Still Leaning Toward an Early Rate Cut
Svmuu: Federal Reserve Governor Milan still leans towards an early rate cut. (Jin Shi)
08/05/2026 07:18
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Institution: Federal Reserve: No Action Expected This Year; Interest Rate Cuts Expected Next
Svmuu News BlueBay Chief Investment Officer Mark Dowding said in a report that the institution still expects the Federal Reserve to keep policy unchanged in 2026, but as inflation begins to fall in 20
08/05/2026 06:52
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Economist: It's too early to see the impact of the US-Iran conflict on the labor market
According to a Reuters poll, after an increase of 178,000 in March, nonfarm payrolls may have only increased by 62,000 in April, with institutional forecasts ranging from a decrease of 15,000 to an in
08/05/2026 01:55
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Institution: US employment growth may slow in April as temporary boost fades
Svmuureports that US employment growth may slow in April, as the temporary boosts from warmer weather and the return of striking healthcare workers fade. However, this does not signal a substantial ch
08/05/2026 01:47
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The US dollar has almost fully given back all its gains since the Iran war
SvmuuNews The US dollar index DXY has essentially erased all of its gains since February 27. The dollar was already weak before the outbreak of the war with Iran, weighed down by a series of policies,
07/05/2026 10:28
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Federal Reserve Hamak: The suggestion that the next move will be an interest rate cut is misleading
Svmuureports that Federal Reserve's Hammack stated that the Fed's signal regarding a rate cut as the next move is misleading. High inflation is forcing more people to make trade-offs, and cutting rate
07/05/2026 10:19
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Fed's Hammack: Base case is that interest rates will remain unchanged for an extended period
Svmuu reported that Fed's Hammack stated, given the uncertainty, the Fed should maintain a neutral stance in its policy outlook. He expressed concerns about the outlook for price pressures, and the ba
07/05/2026 10:11
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Analysis: The crypto market must undergo a "shitcoin purge" for Bitcoin to start a sustainable bull market
According to Svmuu, crypto market analyst and founder of Into The Cryptoverse, Ben Cowen, stated that the crypto market is experiencing an "extinction event" for millions of altcoins, a process necess
07/05/2026 08:27
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Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Says Impact of Iran War Looks More Like an Inflation Shock
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said Wednesday that the war with Iran increasingly appears to be an inflationary shock to the economy. While the impact on employment and economic growth is not y
06/05/2026 17:29
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council: Issues related to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell remain uncertain; 2. Iran will begin reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and neg
06/05/2026 07:30
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Federal Reserve's Treasury holdings rise to $4.4 trillion, highest since July 2024
Svmuureports that the Federal Reserve's Treasury holdings have increased to $4.4 trillion, the highest level since July 2024. The Fed's total balance sheet assets stand at $6.7 trillion. (Cointelegrap
06/05/2026 02:04
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Institution: Fed Unlikely to Raise Rates, as Doing So Could Harm the Economy
Svmuureports that SEI analyst Jim Smigil stated in a report that, given the Fed's dual mandate to support maximum employment and stable prices, a direct rate hike is unlikely because it could negative
06/05/2026 01:37
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. "1011 Insider Whale" Agent: The market misreads Trump's "Liberty Plan," the real risk may have just begun; 2. Barclays: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026; 3. Bina
04/05/2026 07:30
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Galaxy Research Director: US Senate Control Struggle Intensifies, Window for CLARITY Act Progress Narrows
SvmuuNews: Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn posted on X, stating that there is now a higher urgency to pass the CLARITY Act, partly due to the fiercely competitive race for control of the US Senate
04/05/2026 07:04
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Barclays: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026
Svmuu reports that Barclays expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026, compared to its previous forecast of a 25-basis-point cut in September. (Jin10)
04/05/2026 02:23
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Kashkari: May need to raise rates under certain circumstances, open to concerns raised by Warsh
Svmuu reported that Fed's Kashkari said an open mind needs to be maintained regarding the future of interest rate policy; the longer the war lasts, the greater the inflationary pressure. In certain ci
04/05/2026 01:58
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Bitcoin surpasses $80,000, ETH and SOL follow in recovery, market sentiment improves
Svmuu reported that according to BitMart’s market observation on May 4, BTC is currently trading at approximately $80,312, with an intraday high of about $80,529; ETH is trading at approximately $2,39
04/05/2026 00:53
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Powell Plans to Remain as Governor After Stepping Down as Chair, Emphasizing Continuity of Policy Stability and Institutional Independence
Svmuu News According to Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed whisperer," who cited informed sources, Powell plans to remain as a Fed governor after stepping down as chair in May 2026. This practice is his
03/05/2026 22:25
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"Fed Mouthpiece": Fed’s Internal Winds Shift as Policy Path Moves from Rate-Cut Expectations to Rate-Hike Assessment
Svmuu reports that Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed Mouthpiece," wrote in The Wall Street Journal that the discussion within the Federal Reserve regarding the interest rate path has undergone a notice
03/05/2026 06:36
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MN Trading Capital Founder: Bitcoin Returning to $100,000 May Not Require New Narrative Drivers
SvmuuNews, Michael van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading Capital, stated that Bitcoin's return to the $100,000 mark may not require a new market narrative to drive it; narratives will naturally form aft
02/05/2026 01:27
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
22/06/2026 07:37
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
22/06/2026 07:33
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that without a significant rebound in ETF inflows, its bullish price target of $5,200 for gold in the second half of the year would become much harder to achieve.Morg
22/06/2026 06:44
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BIT: Institutional capital flows have turned to net outflows over the past month, and buying interest may be slow to recover
Svmuu News: BIT released an analysis today stating that over the past 30 days, combined capital flows for stablecoins, Strategy, and the “Bitcoin” ETF have shifted to net outflows, reaching a record h
22/06/2026 03:31
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
22/06/2026 02:40
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ICBA Asks the Kansas City Fed to Reevaluate Kraken's Limited-Use Fed Account
Svmuu News: The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, requesting that it reassess Kraken Financial’s compliance prior to the exp
21/06/2026 23:15
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
21/06/2026 01:30
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
21/06/2026 01:05
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Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index is nearing a breakout above the upper boundary of its trading range; BTC is under pressure and may continue its negative correlation with the DXY.
Svmuu News: Bitcoin, often viewed as the “rival” to the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), is facing sustained pressure, with the market watching closely as the DXY approaches a breakout above the upper boundar
19/06/2026 11:00
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Market pricing indicates Federal Reserve that expectations for an interest rate hike are rising, and a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has already been fully priced in.
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. are rising, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September now fully priced in. (Jin Shi)
19/06/2026 09:57
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1: The 2026 U.S. primary funding battle intensifies: A crypto super PAC is accused of “covertly shaping candidates’ narratives,” sparking controversy; 2: Bloomberg analysts: The Hong Kong 2x SK Hynix
18/06/2026 07:30
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Federal Reserve Hawkish Dot Plot Shocks the Market: Gold Stages a V-Shaped Rebound; Bitcoin’s Key Range Is $64,000–$65,000
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, br
18/06/2026 03:22
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Analysis: The continued flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve sends a hawkish signal; Bitcoin’s short-term rebound potential may be limited.
Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasu
18/06/2026 03:13
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Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027
Svmuu News: Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027, having previously forecast a 25-basis-point rate cut in March. (Jin Shi)
18/06/2026 01:52
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Bitcoin’s reserves are sufficient to cover 32 years of dividend payments; 2. Goldman Sachs: If inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as ear
18/06/2026 01:30
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Ansem: A hawkish FOMC could trigger a broad sell-off in risk assets, and BTC may retest the lower end of its trading range
Svmuu News: Trader Ansem posted that Warsh and a hawkish FOMC could put pressure on risk assets. He expects risk assets to decline across the board tomorrow, noting that BTC has already shown relative
17/06/2026 23:32
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
17/06/2026 22:33
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1: Federal Reserve: Interest rates held steady as expected; 2: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect rate hikes in 2026; 3: Ansem: Bullish on SpaceX becoming the world’s
17/06/2026 21:30
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Wash: I hope the market will price assets based on real economic conditions, rather than following interpretations from Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that he hopes financial markets will price securities based on their own assessment of the economy, rather than attempting to price them based o
17/06/2026 16:27
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Wash: Federal Reserve—No one wants an interest rate hike today
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash stated at a press conference that no one at the Federal Reserve. wanted to raise interest rates in the near term. In response to a question suggesting that cur
17/06/2026 16:27
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Unable to Provide Any Forward-Looking Guidance on Next Steps
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: “I cannot provide any forward-looking guidance on our next steps; we have abandoned forward-looking guidance, and my personal submission of a dot plot would n
17/06/2026 14:47
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target; persistently high prices are a burden, and recent history should not be seen as a prelude to inflation problems. (Jin S
17/06/2026 14:38
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Middle East Conflict Reshapes Federal Reserve Forecasts: Nearly Half of Policymakers Now Expect Rate Hikes; Inflation Forecasts Revised Up Across the Board
Svmuu News: Foreign media analysis indicates that nearly half of the policymakers at Federal Reserve no longer believe that, amid soaring oil prices following the war in Iran, simply keeping borrowing
17/06/2026 14:35
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Two officials did not submit their 2028 pie chart projections
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of th
17/06/2026 14:21
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