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Federal Reserve
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“Fed Whisperer”: April CPI Data Dents the Optimistic View of the “Tariff Inflation Theory”
Svmuureports that “Fed Whisperer” Nick Timiraos commented on the US CPI data, stating that the optimistic narrative about inflation has been that the recent price increases are driven by tariffs (whic
12/05/2026 08:52
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Analysis: U.S. inflation exceeds expectations, dampening rate cut hopes; Bitcoin retreats, crypto market under pressure
Svmuureports that the latest U.S. inflation data came in higher than expected, weakening the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year and triggering a broad pullba
12/05/2026 08:51
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Probability of Fed keeping rates unchanged in June stands at 97.6% before CPI release
SvmuuNews According to CME's "FedWatch": As of June, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged is 97.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut
12/05/2026 08:25
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Gate Ventures: Tech Stocks Hit New Highs Amid Inflationary Pressure, Crypto Market Risk Appetite Recovers
SvmuuNews According to the latest weekly report from Gate Ventures, global markets continued to strengthen last week, driven by the technology sector. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq index hit new rec
12/05/2026 08:22
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Wintermute: BTC’s Recent Rally Clearly Driven by Leverage, Open Interest Surges While Spot Volume Slumps
Svmuu reported that Wintermute’s weekly market report indicates Bitcoin recently broke through $80,000 and briefly touched around $83,000, while also reclaiming the 200-day moving average for the firs
12/05/2026 06:40
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Arthur Hayes: US-China AI Arms Race Combined with War Inflation Makes BTC’s Return to $126,000 Inevitable
Svmuu reports that Arthur Hayes has published his latest article "The Butterfly Touch," stating that the crypto bull market officially began after the US launched military action against Iran on Febru
12/05/2026 05:04
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Hassett: Fed Chair Powell May Choose to Leave After Inspector General's Report is Released
Svmuu reported that when asked how long Powell would remain as a Fed Governor after Kevin Warsh takes over as Fed Chair, White House National Economic Council Director Hassett said during an interview
11/05/2026 09:13
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Hassett: I will not comment on interest rates Federal Reserve
Svmuu: White House National Economic Council Director Hassett stated that he will not comment on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy. (Jin Shi)
11/05/2026 08:56
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Analysis: Bitcoin long-term holders are accumulating heavily, institutional buying drives price back above $80,000
Svmuu reports that the latest Bitfinex Alpha report indicates that as May began, BTC successfully navigated through the dense sell-off zone between $78,000 and $79,000, briefly approaching $83,000. Th
11/05/2026 07:51
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Analysis: Bitcoin may face correction pressure, market sentiment cautious ahead of CPI release
Svmuureports Market analysis indicates that with the US April CPI data set to be released on May 12, Bitcoin may face greater correction pressure. The latest forecast from the Cleveland Fed suggests t
10/05/2026 05:58
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1.A whale bought 143,674 HYPE within 12 hours, valued at $6.26 million; 2.UBS increased its holdings in MSTR to 6.31 million shares, with a position value of approximately $1.12 billion; 3.Follow-up o
09/05/2026 07:32
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The market expects the Federal Reserve to maintain a prolonged pause on rate hikes, with the first rate cut potentially delayed until December 2027
Svmuu reports that the market has already priced in expectations of an extended pause in rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, with no rate cuts anticipated before December 2027. (Cointelegraph)
09/05/2026 05:03
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Bank of America: Fed Unlikely to Cut Rates Before 2027
Svmuu’s latest forecast indicates that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts until the second half of 2027, primarily due to relatively high inflation levels and robust job growth. Bank of
09/05/2026 01:39
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“Cathie Wood”: Innovation-driven deflationary forces are building, and inflation could be lower than expected over the next 6 to 9 months
Svmuu reported that “Cathie Wood” posted on platform X, stating that despite the rise in oil prices over the past three months, the yield curve continues to flatten, and the Federal Reserve has not mo
08/05/2026 20:36
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Federal Reserve Gursby: Federal Reserves should always consider all options
Svmuu: Fed's Goolsbee says the Fed should always consider all options. The Fed must focus on inflation conditions, and does not believe inflation pressure comes solely from energy. What is most concer
08/05/2026 11:11
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Analysis: The Fed Will Not Reconsider Its Stance That It Is "Not Yet Prepared to Tighten Rates"
SvmuuCFRA Research Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall stated that I view this employment report as positive, as it confirms the labor market remains solid, which can give consumers a certain leve
08/05/2026 09:30
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Hassett: We'll see interest rate cuts this year because of Federal Reserve Chair nominee Warsh
Svmuu reported that White House National Economic Council Director Hassett said, "I think we will see interest rate cuts this year, as Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh is supportive." (Jin Shi)
08/05/2026 09:16
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哈塞特: No signs of inflation spiraling out of control, the Fed does not need to raise interest rates
Svmuu reported that Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that employment data over the past two months has been strong, and the job market is "hot." People should lev
08/05/2026 09:15
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Federal funds futures pricing indicates that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged for the remainder of the year
Svmuu reported that according to CME's "FedWatch" data, federal funds futures still indicate that investors expect the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates unchanged for a considerable period in
08/05/2026 09:13
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“Fed Whisperer”: Nonfarm payrolls mean Fed’s focus will shift from employment to inflation
Svmuu reported that “Fed Whisperer” Nick Timiraos said four months ago, a major issue facing the Federal Reserve was whether it needed to continue cutting interest rates to support the seemingly falte
08/05/2026 09:10
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Nonfarm payroll data shows limited change in expectations for the Fed's near-term interest rate decisions
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 94.9% (96.9% before the release), and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-poi
08/05/2026 08:57
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Nonfarm payroll data did not put pressure on rate cuts, U.S. Treasury yields fell instead of rising
SvmuuNews: Despite higher-than-expected U.S. nonfarm employment growth and former President Trump downplaying renewed tensions with Iran as "a small matter," U.S. Treasury yields still declined. The u
08/05/2026 08:54
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Analysis: Nonfarm Data Supports Current Market Positioning, Reducing Urgency for Further Fed Tightening
Svmuu News Capital.com Senior Market Analyst Daniela Hathorn stated that the latest U.S. employment report adds an interesting dimension to the current market backdrop. On the surface, nonfarm payroll
08/05/2026 08:53
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分析：Strong Nonfarm Payrolls Make Fed Rate Cuts More Difficult to Achieve
According to Svmuu, interest rate strategist Ira Jersey commented that stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll data highlights that the US is far from a recession. It is difficult to see the Fed choosi
08/05/2026 08:46
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
22/06/2026 07:37
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
22/06/2026 07:33
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that without a significant rebound in ETF inflows, its bullish price target of $5,200 for gold in the second half of the year would become much harder to achieve.Morg
22/06/2026 06:44
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BIT: Institutional capital flows have turned to net outflows over the past month, and buying interest may be slow to recover
Svmuu News: BIT released an analysis today stating that over the past 30 days, combined capital flows for stablecoins, Strategy, and the “Bitcoin” ETF have shifted to net outflows, reaching a record h
22/06/2026 03:31
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
22/06/2026 02:40
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ICBA Asks the Kansas City Fed to Reevaluate Kraken's Limited-Use Fed Account
Svmuu News: The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, requesting that it reassess Kraken Financial’s compliance prior to the exp
21/06/2026 23:15
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
21/06/2026 01:30
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
21/06/2026 01:05
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Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index is nearing a breakout above the upper boundary of its trading range; BTC is under pressure and may continue its negative correlation with the DXY.
Svmuu News: Bitcoin, often viewed as the “rival” to the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), is facing sustained pressure, with the market watching closely as the DXY approaches a breakout above the upper boundar
19/06/2026 11:00
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Market pricing indicates Federal Reserve that expectations for an interest rate hike are rising, and a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has already been fully priced in.
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. are rising, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September now fully priced in. (Jin Shi)
19/06/2026 09:57
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1: The 2026 U.S. primary funding battle intensifies: A crypto super PAC is accused of “covertly shaping candidates’ narratives,” sparking controversy; 2: Bloomberg analysts: The Hong Kong 2x SK Hynix
18/06/2026 07:30
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Federal Reserve Hawkish Dot Plot Shocks the Market: Gold Stages a V-Shaped Rebound; Bitcoin’s Key Range Is $64,000–$65,000
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, br
18/06/2026 03:22
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Analysis: The continued flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve sends a hawkish signal; Bitcoin’s short-term rebound potential may be limited.
Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasu
18/06/2026 03:13
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Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027
Svmuu News: Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027, having previously forecast a 25-basis-point rate cut in March. (Jin Shi)
18/06/2026 01:52
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Bitcoin’s reserves are sufficient to cover 32 years of dividend payments; 2. Goldman Sachs: If inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as ear
18/06/2026 01:30
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Ansem: A hawkish FOMC could trigger a broad sell-off in risk assets, and BTC may retest the lower end of its trading range
Svmuu News: Trader Ansem posted that Warsh and a hawkish FOMC could put pressure on risk assets. He expects risk assets to decline across the board tomorrow, noting that BTC has already shown relative
17/06/2026 23:32
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
17/06/2026 22:33
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1: Federal Reserve: Interest rates held steady as expected; 2: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect rate hikes in 2026; 3: Ansem: Bullish on SpaceX becoming the world’s
17/06/2026 21:30
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Wash: I hope the market will price assets based on real economic conditions, rather than following interpretations from Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that he hopes financial markets will price securities based on their own assessment of the economy, rather than attempting to price them based o
17/06/2026 16:27
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Wash: Federal Reserve—No one wants an interest rate hike today
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash stated at a press conference that no one at the Federal Reserve. wanted to raise interest rates in the near term. In response to a question suggesting that cur
17/06/2026 16:27
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Unable to Provide Any Forward-Looking Guidance on Next Steps
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: “I cannot provide any forward-looking guidance on our next steps; we have abandoned forward-looking guidance, and my personal submission of a dot plot would n
17/06/2026 14:47
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target; persistently high prices are a burden, and recent history should not be seen as a prelude to inflation problems. (Jin S
17/06/2026 14:38
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Middle East Conflict Reshapes Federal Reserve Forecasts: Nearly Half of Policymakers Now Expect Rate Hikes; Inflation Forecasts Revised Up Across the Board
Svmuu News: Foreign media analysis indicates that nearly half of the policymakers at Federal Reserve no longer believe that, amid soaring oil prices following the war in Iran, simply keeping borrowing
17/06/2026 14:35
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Two officials did not submit their 2028 pie chart projections
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of th
17/06/2026 14:21
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