Federal Reserve
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Federal Reserve Beige Book: Prices Rise at a Moderate to Strong Pace, with Middle East Conflict-Related Pressures as the Main Driver
According to the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, overall, prices rose at a moderate to strong pace, with most districts reporting a higher rate of inflation than in the previous report. Districts noted
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Federal Reserve's Logan: The Fed May Need to Raise Interest Rates This Year to Curb Prices
SvmuuNews, Federal Reserve's Logan stated that Fed officials may need to raise interest rates later this year to bring inflation down to the 2% target level. She noted that the U.S. labor market is "l
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ADP data suggests the US labor market may still be accelerating
According to Svmuu, U.S. companies added the highest number of new jobs in May since January 2025, indicating that the labor market may still be accelerating despite rising energy costs due to the war
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Goldman Sachs CEO: Greed outweighs fear in the market
Svmuureports that Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon stated that the stock market's boom is driven by a desire for profit, which outweighs concerns about economic turmoil and inflation risks. Solomon sai
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh Appoints Two Advisors, Both Conservatives
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh has hired two external individuals as advisors to assist him in the early stages of his tenure. One of them previously contributed to drafting a conservative po
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Federal Reserve's Hammack: Fed May Need to Act Quickly to Address High Inflation
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve's Hammack stated, given the many uncertainties in the economic outlook, keeping interest rates unchanged is currently reasonable, but officials may need to act quic
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Polymarket has a new prediction market: "June world is peaceful and uneventful," with the probability of nothing happening currently reported at 86%
Svmuu Seer Channel monitors that Polymarket has launched a new prediction market titled "June world is peaceful and uneventful." Currently, the probability of something major happening (Something) sta
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Apollo Chief Economist Warns Wash's Rate Cut Hopes Dampened: AI Infrastructure Boom Will Initially Fuel Inflation
Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, Inc., has warned that the initial phase of the AI infrastructure boom will fuel inflation, making it difficult for new Federal Reserve Chairm
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Traders expect the US dollar to rise in the coming weeks
Svmuu reports that traders expect the US dollar to rise in the coming weeks, supported by factors including persistent uncertainties in US-Iran negotiations and an AI-driven rally in US stocks. The US
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Traders Raise Fed Rate Hike Expectations, 50% Probability of Rate Hike as Early as October
Svmuu News Due to signs of a deadlock in peace negotiations between the United States and Iran, U.S. Treasury prices fell as concerns grow that high energy costs will exacerbate inflation and prompt t
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. In 18 days, loracle.hl erased 10 months of $42.2 million in perpetual contract profits and incurred an additional loss of $5.19 million. 2. Arthur Hayes: Before this market cycle ends, HYPE should
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Powell Issues Warning on Federal Reserve Independence
According to an article by Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed Whisperer," in a speech on Sunday evening, former Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that if any administration seeks a pretext t
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Federal Reserve Board Member Waller: The Adoption of Stablecoins Will Amplify the Impact of Policy Federal Reserve
Svmuu News In a panel discussion at the 32nd Dubrovnik Economic Conference, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that the global adoption of stablecoins could amplify the influence of Federal Reserv
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U.S. money market fund assets hit a record $8.281 trillion as demand for cash-like assets surges
Svmuu reported that uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path has spurred demand for cash-like assets, pushing the total assets of U.S. money market funds to a record $8.281 t
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Federal Reserve's Bowman Outlines a "Practical Monetary Policy Decision-Making Framework": Emphasizes the Dual Mandate and Flexible Response Mechanism
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman, in a recent article, systematically outlined her "practical monetary policy decision-making framework," emphasizing that the Fed must cent
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Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: It's premature to judge the impact of the war on inflation; temporary price shocks can be overlooked for now
Svmuureported that Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated it is currently too early to determine the impact of the Iran war on inflation, and policymakers need to adopt a "look through" approach to te
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Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: If Credibility in Monetary Policy is Maintained, Energy Shocks Can Be Ignored
Svmuureports that Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that if the Fed maintains credibility in its monetary policy, it can overlook energy shocks. If war-driven inflation spreads, consideration wil
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U.S. pre-market quantum computing stocks continued to gain, with IBM rising over 4%
According to data from MSX.COM, U.S. pre-market quantum computing concept stocks extended gains, with ServiceNow up over 8%, IBM up over 4%, Oracle up over 3%, and Infleqtion up over 1%. Several Feder
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Fed's Kashkari: It is still too early to assert an immediate rate hike following the April PCE inflation data; 2. Data: BTC and ETH options worth a notional $7.48 billion are set to expire and sett
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Federal Reserve's Schmid: Must Clearly Communicate Commitment to Curbing Inflation
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve's Schmid stated he will continue to closely monitor persistently high inflation, and believes that Fed officials should clearly indicate their willingness to take a
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Fed's Schmid: Primary focus is on bringing inflation back to the 2% target
Svmuu News: Fed's Schmid said the primary focus is on bringing inflation back to the 2% target. (Jin10)
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Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve: It is too early to conclude that an immediate rate hike is needed after April PCE inflation data.
SvmuuNews: Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve stated that it is too early to conclude that an immediate rate hike is needed following the release of April PCE inflation data. (Jinshi)
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Probability of selling Bitcoin this week rises from 11% to 30% from today's low; 2. Some banks in Hong Kong are tightening account openings for investment accounts, temporarily having no
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Opinion: Market still underestimates potential tightening policies of the Fed
Svmuureported that T. Rowe Price Chief US Economist Blerina Uruci said the market may still be underestimating the possibility of further tightening by the Federal Reserve. In a report, Uruci noted th
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that without a significant rebound in ETF inflows, its bullish price target of $5,200 for gold in the second half of the year would become much harder to achieve.Morg
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BIT: Institutional capital flows have turned to net outflows over the past month, and buying interest may be slow to recover
Svmuu News: BIT released an analysis today stating that over the past 30 days, combined capital flows for stablecoins, Strategy, and the “Bitcoin” ETF have shifted to net outflows, reaching a record h
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
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ICBA Asks the Kansas City Fed to Reevaluate Kraken's Limited-Use Fed Account
Svmuu News: The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, requesting that it reassess Kraken Financial’s compliance prior to the exp
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
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Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index is nearing a breakout above the upper boundary of its trading range; BTC is under pressure and may continue its negative correlation with the DXY.
Svmuu News: Bitcoin, often viewed as the “rival” to the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), is facing sustained pressure, with the market watching closely as the DXY approaches a breakout above the upper boundar
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Market pricing indicates Federal Reserve that expectations for an interest rate hike are rising, and a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has already been fully priced in.
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. are rising, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September now fully priced in. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1: The 2026 U.S. primary funding battle intensifies: A crypto super PAC is accused of “covertly shaping candidates’ narratives,” sparking controversy; 2: Bloomberg analysts: The Hong Kong 2x SK Hynix
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Federal Reserve Hawkish Dot Plot Shocks the Market: Gold Stages a V-Shaped Rebound; Bitcoin’s Key Range Is $64,000–$65,000
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, br
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Analysis: The continued flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve sends a hawkish signal; Bitcoin’s short-term rebound potential may be limited.
Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasu
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Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027
Svmuu News: Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027, having previously forecast a 25-basis-point rate cut in March. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Bitcoin’s reserves are sufficient to cover 32 years of dividend payments; 2. Goldman Sachs: If inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as ear
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Ansem: A hawkish FOMC could trigger a broad sell-off in risk assets, and BTC may retest the lower end of its trading range
Svmuu News: Trader Ansem posted that Warsh and a hawkish FOMC could put pressure on risk assets. He expects risk assets to decline across the board tomorrow, noting that BTC has already shown relative
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1: Federal Reserve: Interest rates held steady as expected; 2: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect rate hikes in 2026; 3: Ansem: Bullish on SpaceX becoming the world’s
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Wash: I hope the market will price assets based on real economic conditions, rather than following interpretations from Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that he hopes financial markets will price securities based on their own assessment of the economy, rather than attempting to price them based o
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Wash: Federal Reserve—No one wants an interest rate hike today
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash stated at a press conference that no one at the Federal Reserve. wanted to raise interest rates in the near term. In response to a question suggesting that cur
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Unable to Provide Any Forward-Looking Guidance on Next Steps
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: “I cannot provide any forward-looking guidance on our next steps; we have abandoned forward-looking guidance, and my personal submission of a dot plot would n
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target; persistently high prices are a burden, and recent history should not be seen as a prelude to inflation problems. (Jin S
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Middle East Conflict Reshapes Federal Reserve Forecasts: Nearly Half of Policymakers Now Expect Rate Hikes; Inflation Forecasts Revised Up Across the Board
Svmuu News: Foreign media analysis indicates that nearly half of the policymakers at Federal Reserve no longer believe that, amid soaring oil prices following the war in Iran, simply keeping borrowing
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Two officials did not submit their 2028 pie chart projections
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of th
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Federal Reserve
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