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Federal Reserve
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Analysis: Fed Rate Cut Timing Remains a "Black Box," Energy Shocks May Consume Easing Room
Svmuu News Recently, inflation and employment data have shown moderation, reducing the Fed's urgency to cut rates. Analysis suggests the timing of a Fed rate cut remains a "black box." Simultaneously,
17/03/2026 10:39
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BofA Survey: Rate Cut Expectations Have Significantly Cooled, Geopolitical Conflict Replaces AI Bubble as the "Biggest Tail Risk"
The Iran conflict is reshaping the global investment landscape and forcing markets to drastically reassess the global economic outlook. The March global fund manager survey released by Bank of America
17/03/2026 09:15
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Macquarie: Expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in the first half of 2027
Svmuu News Macquarie expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in the first half of 2027, whereas the previous forecast was for a rate hike in the fourth quarter of 2026. (Jin10)
17/03/2026 08:21
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An address spent $6.07 million betting that the Fed will not cut rates in March
Monitoring by Seer Channel shows that a newly created 5-day-old address spent $6.07 million betting that the Fed will not cut interest rates in March, with an average price of 99.5¢ and a maximum pote
17/03/2026 02:31
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"Fed Whisperer": Fed Leans Toward Silence This Week, Recent Shocks Become Two-Way Factor
Svmuu News "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos: The Federal Reserve may be more inclined to remain silent this week. But forecasts force them to outline a path. Two former Fed chairs told me they hope to av
16/03/2026 21:38
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Trump: The Fed Should Immediately Convene a Special Meeting to Cut Rates
Svmuu News Trump said the Federal Reserve should immediately convene a special meeting to cut interest rates. (Jin10)
16/03/2026 12:30
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Analysis: Institutional Funds Drive Bitcoin's Strength, but Breaking Through the $75,000 Resistance Level Still Faces Pressure
Svmuu News Bitcoin briefly broke above $74,000 on Monday, continuing its upward trend. Analysis suggests strong institutional demand is driving prices. Additionally, global crypto ETF products saw net
16/03/2026 11:07
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Rising oil prices shift expectations for interest rate cuts; an options bet at Federal Reserve yields $10 million in profits
Svmuu News: This month’s sharp rise in oil prices and the market’s downward revision of expectations for Federal Reserve’s monetary easing have resulted in a $10 million profit from an options trade o
16/03/2026 10:38
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Iran War Clouds Outlook; Federal Reserves Face Pressure on Both Fronts; Hawk-Dove Showdown Looms
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Officials are set to meet this week, with their policy outlook already disrupted by the war in Iran, which has brought one-fifth of global oil supplies to a standstill. Offi
16/03/2026 09:23
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Bitfinex Report: Bitcoin Stabilizes Above $70,000, Institutional Accumulation Within Range May Brew Breakout
According to the latest Bitfinex Alpha report, Bitcoin has regained its footing above the $70,000 mark ahead of this week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting on March 18th, with market momentum showing a c
16/03/2026 08:58
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Wall Street's Big Three Still Bullish on U.S. Stocks: Geopolitical Shocks Won't Alter Bull Market
Svmuu According to strategists from major Wall Street banks, their bullish case for U.S. equities remains intact despite risks stemming from the war in Iran. Rising oil prices, cost-of-living concerns
16/03/2026 08:21
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Jerome Powell: Even if investigated, he will not step down after his term as chairman ends
Svmuu News: Documents declassified last Friday reveal that, during a meeting with the Department of Justice in January, attorneys for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Jerome Powell raised the possibili
16/03/2026 00:15
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U.S. Court Upholds Fed Ruling, Denies Custodia's Request for Rehearing on Master Account
Svmuu News The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit, in a 7-3 vote, has denied crypto bank Custodia's request for an en banc rehearing. This decision upholds the October 2025 panel ruling, affi
14/03/2026 20:17
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Federal Court Halts DOJ Subpoena Investigation into Current Fed Chair, Elizabeth Warren's Support for Warsh as Fed Chair Probability Surges Significantly
Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability for "Will Elizabeth Warren vote to support Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?" has risen from 1.9% to 28.0%. A recent ruling by a U.S. federal d
14/03/2026 06:23
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Polymarket's "Fed rate cut before June FOMC meeting concludes" probability drops 11% in 24 hours, currently reported at 28%
According to monitoring by Svmuu Seer's Prophet Channel, the probability of the Polymarket event "Fed rate cut before the June FOMC meeting concludes" has dropped 11% in 24 hours and is currently repo
13/03/2026 21:55
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Bank of America Analyst: Further Decline in S&P 500 Index Could Trigger Policy Response from White House or Fed
Svmuu According to Bank of America analyst Michael Hartnett, a further decline in the S&P 500 Index—down to around 6600 points, just 1% below recent levels—could trigger a policy response from the Whi
13/03/2026 12:38
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Barclays: Expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points each in September 2026 and March 2027
Svmuu News Barclays: Expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points each in September 2026 and March 2027, compared to previous forecasts for rate cuts in June and September of this year. (Jin10)
13/03/2026 11:26
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Rabinettenbank: Middle East Conflict May Continue to Support the Dollar
Svmuu According to Jane Foley of Rabobank in a report, as there are no signs of easing in the Middle East conflict, the US dollar may still have room for further strengthening. The rise of the dollar
13/03/2026 10:45
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Bank of America: Oil Price Shock May Push Up Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts; Jerome Powells Will Adopt a Wait-and-See Approach
Svmuu News: Bank of America stated that the Federal Reserve will have to contend with another round of supply shocks—soaring oil prices. In the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) released ahead of
13/03/2026 10:15
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Market Analysis: Rising Core PCE Poses Challenges for Fed Doves
Svmuu News According to the US financial website investinglive: This report poses a problem for the doves within the Federal Reserve. The overall data largely met expectations, but upon closer inspect
13/03/2026 08:38
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Market News: Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cut Before September
Svmuu News: Market news indicates that traders are betting on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates before September. (Jin10)
13/03/2026 08:35
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A survey shows that economists predict the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year
Svmuu News: According to a Bloomberg survey, economists have pushed back their expectations for the next interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve from March to June, but still anticipate two 25-basis-
13/03/2026 07:35
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Analysis: Bitcoin forms a chip accumulation zone between $62,000 and $72,000, poised for new breakout momentum
Svmuu According to Cointelegraph, amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, the price of Bitcoin has broken through $72,000, reaching a new high since March 5th, demonstrating strong ma
13/03/2026 06:03
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Analysis: Middle East Conflict Fuels Inflation Expectations, Market Fears Fed May Struggle to Cut Rates
Svmuu According to data, the one-year breakeven inflation rate has risen to 4.62%, the highest level since June 2022; the two-year breakeven inflation rate has also climbed to 3.18%, reaching a near o
13/03/2026 04:13
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
22/06/2026 07:37
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
22/06/2026 07:33
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that without a significant rebound in ETF inflows, its bullish price target of $5,200 for gold in the second half of the year would become much harder to achieve.Morg
22/06/2026 06:44
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BIT: Institutional capital flows have turned to net outflows over the past month, and buying interest may be slow to recover
Svmuu News: BIT released an analysis today stating that over the past 30 days, combined capital flows for stablecoins, Strategy, and the “Bitcoin” ETF have shifted to net outflows, reaching a record h
22/06/2026 03:31
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
22/06/2026 02:40
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ICBA Asks the Kansas City Fed to Reevaluate Kraken's Limited-Use Fed Account
Svmuu News: The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, requesting that it reassess Kraken Financial’s compliance prior to the exp
21/06/2026 23:15
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
21/06/2026 01:30
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
21/06/2026 01:05
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Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index is nearing a breakout above the upper boundary of its trading range; BTC is under pressure and may continue its negative correlation with the DXY.
Svmuu News: Bitcoin, often viewed as the “rival” to the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), is facing sustained pressure, with the market watching closely as the DXY approaches a breakout above the upper boundar
19/06/2026 11:00
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Market pricing indicates Federal Reserve that expectations for an interest rate hike are rising, and a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has already been fully priced in.
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. are rising, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September now fully priced in. (Jin Shi)
19/06/2026 09:57
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1: The 2026 U.S. primary funding battle intensifies: A crypto super PAC is accused of “covertly shaping candidates’ narratives,” sparking controversy; 2: Bloomberg analysts: The Hong Kong 2x SK Hynix
18/06/2026 07:30
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Federal Reserve Hawkish Dot Plot Shocks the Market: Gold Stages a V-Shaped Rebound; Bitcoin’s Key Range Is $64,000–$65,000
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, br
18/06/2026 03:22
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Analysis: The continued flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve sends a hawkish signal; Bitcoin’s short-term rebound potential may be limited.
Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasu
18/06/2026 03:13
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Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027
Svmuu News: Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027, having previously forecast a 25-basis-point rate cut in March. (Jin Shi)
18/06/2026 01:52
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Bitcoin’s reserves are sufficient to cover 32 years of dividend payments; 2. Goldman Sachs: If inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as ear
18/06/2026 01:30
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Ansem: A hawkish FOMC could trigger a broad sell-off in risk assets, and BTC may retest the lower end of its trading range
Svmuu News: Trader Ansem posted that Warsh and a hawkish FOMC could put pressure on risk assets. He expects risk assets to decline across the board tomorrow, noting that BTC has already shown relative
17/06/2026 23:32
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
17/06/2026 22:33
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1: Federal Reserve: Interest rates held steady as expected; 2: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect rate hikes in 2026; 3: Ansem: Bullish on SpaceX becoming the world’s
17/06/2026 21:30
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Wash: I hope the market will price assets based on real economic conditions, rather than following interpretations from Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that he hopes financial markets will price securities based on their own assessment of the economy, rather than attempting to price them based o
17/06/2026 16:27
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Wash: Federal Reserve—No one wants an interest rate hike today
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash stated at a press conference that no one at the Federal Reserve. wanted to raise interest rates in the near term. In response to a question suggesting that cur
17/06/2026 16:27
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Unable to Provide Any Forward-Looking Guidance on Next Steps
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: “I cannot provide any forward-looking guidance on our next steps; we have abandoned forward-looking guidance, and my personal submission of a dot plot would n
17/06/2026 14:47
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target; persistently high prices are a burden, and recent history should not be seen as a prelude to inflation problems. (Jin S
17/06/2026 14:38
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Middle East Conflict Reshapes Federal Reserve Forecasts: Nearly Half of Policymakers Now Expect Rate Hikes; Inflation Forecasts Revised Up Across the Board
Svmuu News: Foreign media analysis indicates that nearly half of the policymakers at Federal Reserve no longer believe that, amid soaring oil prices following the war in Iran, simply keeping borrowing
17/06/2026 14:35
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Two officials did not submit their 2028 pie chart projections
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of th
17/06/2026 14:21
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