Federal Reserve
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Iran: The Strait of Hormuz will not be opened; we have not held any negotiations; 2. Goldman Sachs dims expectations for a Fed rate hike within the year; 3. A whale's Brent crude oil long position
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"Small Non-Farm Payrolls" and "Terror Data" to Be Released Tonight, May Impact Fed's Interest Rate Path
Svmuu News According to Jinshi, the US March ADP employment data will be released at 20:15 tonight, followed by the US February retail sales month-on-month rate. The market will obtain the latest data
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Goldman Sachs Remains Cautious on Fed Rate Hike Expectations This Year
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs analysts noted in a report that since the outbreak of the war on Iran, market pricing for the U.S. Federal Funds Rate has experienced significant volatility, but the likelihoo
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Analyst: Expectations for Fed Monetary Policy Easing May Return, Cooling Geopolitical Risks Favor Gold
Svmuu News On Wednesday, gold prices edged higher, hitting a near two-week high, primarily supported by a weaker US dollar. Edward Meir, an analyst at Marex, stated that talk suggesting the US might e
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Fed's Barr Warns of Stablecoin Risks, Emphasizes Need for Enhanced Regulation and Reserve Scrutiny
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that stablecoin development must be built upon strict regulation, warning that without effective constraints, it could repeat the "long history
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Fed's Schmid: Don't Take Risks to Inflation Expectations Lightly
Svmuu News According to Jinshi Data on April 1, Federal Reserve's Schmid warned on Tuesday that it should not be assumed that rising energy prices will only have a temporary impact on inflation. This
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Powell: It's too early to draw conclusions about the magnitude of the energy shock
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chair Powell: We don't know how significant the energy shock will be; it's too early to draw conclusions now. (Jin10)
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Market pricing indicates that bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes have been withdrawn, shifting to pricing in the possibility of rate cuts this year
Svmuu News Market pricing indicates that bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes have been withdrawn, shifting to pricing in the possibility of rate cuts this year. (Jin10)
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Powell: Middle East situation affects oil prices, uncertain what economic impact current situation will have.
Svmuu News Fed Chair Powell: Middle East situation affects oil prices; policy is currently in a favorable position, allowing for waiting to see how the current situation develops. We do not know what
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Federal Reserve Governor Milan: The Federal Reserve's balance sheet is too large, and I hope to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Governor Milan: The Federal Reserve's balance sheet is too large, and I hope to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. (Jin10)
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Fed Governor Milan: Inflation Expectations Not Yet Affected by Rising Oil Prices
Svmuu News Fed Governor Milan stated that inflation expectations have not yet been affected by rising oil prices. (Jin10)
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U.S. Treasury Yields Retreat as Market Weighs Economic Growth Against Inflation Risks
Svmuu News U.S. Treasury yields continued to retreat from their highs. Investors are gradually shifting their focus to the risks to economic growth from the Middle East conflict and inflationary press
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Wash's confirmation hearing for Federal Reserve Chair may be held during the week of April 13; 2. BIT: ETH breaks below key support level, bear flag pattern may extend downtrend; 3. Strategy accumu
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Nomura: Inflation Risks and Upper-Level Changes Delay Fed Rate Cut Expectations to September
Svmuu News Nomura Securities has delayed its expectations for Fed rate cuts to September and December, citing new inflation risks triggered by conflicts in the Middle East. Jeremy Schwartz, Nomura's C
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Warsh's Fed Chair Nomination Hearing Could Be Held the Week of April 13
Svmuu News Two informed sources stated that the U.S. Senate Banking Committee plans to hold a nomination hearing for Kevin Warsh to become the Federal Reserve Chair as early as the week of April 13. T
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Analysis: The Federal Reserve faces challenges, rising oil prices may dampen expectations for a decline in US inflation; 2. Machi Big Brother continues to increase long positions in BTC, ETH, and H
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Analysis: The Fed Faces Challenges, Rising Oil Prices May Disrupt Expectations of U.S. Inflation Decline
Svmuu News As the conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran approaches one month, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains persistently obstructed, disrupting the global energy supply system an
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Analysis: The Crypto Market Needs to Undergo a "Reset Period" Before a New Bull Run Can Begin
Svmuu According to Interactivecrypto, since Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $127,000 in October 2025, the market experienced a swift correction to around the $60,000 range in Q1 2026. Despite the int
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Study: Polymarket's "Informed" Traders Garner $143 Million in Abnormal Profits Since 2024
Svmuu News Researchers from Columbia Law School and the University of Haifa analyzed most of Polymarket's trading data between 2024 and 2026, finding that over 210,000 suspicious trades generated $143
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Coinbase's Head of Policy calls for reform of crypto tax rules, stating the current system is outdated; 2. Ethereum developers will not prioritize inclusion of the framework transaction proposal fo
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Democratic Lawmakers Write to Kansas City Fed, Demand Details on Approval of Kraken's Access to Federal Reserve Services
Svmuu News: Maxine Waters, the top Democrat on the U.S. House Financial Services Committee, has sent a letter to Jeff Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. She is demanding a d
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Polymarket Launches New Event "When Will the Trump Administration Terminate the Powell Criminal Investigation," Probability of Termination Before June Currently Reported at 56%
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that a new event, "When will the Trump administration terminate the Powell criminal investigation," has been launched on Polymarket. The probability of termination
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Federal Reserve Official: No Plans to Advance CBDC Development at This Time
Svmuu News According to Brett Guynn, a legal official at the Federal Reserve, there are currently no plans in motion to advance the development of a central bank digital currency (CBDC). (CoinDesk)
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The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April is 93.8%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 6.2%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 93.8
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that without a significant rebound in ETF inflows, its bullish price target of $5,200 for gold in the second half of the year would become much harder to achieve.Morg
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BIT: Institutional capital flows have turned to net outflows over the past month, and buying interest may be slow to recover
Svmuu News: BIT released an analysis today stating that over the past 30 days, combined capital flows for stablecoins, Strategy, and the “Bitcoin” ETF have shifted to net outflows, reaching a record h
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
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ICBA Asks the Kansas City Fed to Reevaluate Kraken's Limited-Use Fed Account
Svmuu News: The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, requesting that it reassess Kraken Financial’s compliance prior to the exp
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
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Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index is nearing a breakout above the upper boundary of its trading range; BTC is under pressure and may continue its negative correlation with the DXY.
Svmuu News: Bitcoin, often viewed as the “rival” to the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), is facing sustained pressure, with the market watching closely as the DXY approaches a breakout above the upper boundar
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Market pricing indicates Federal Reserve that expectations for an interest rate hike are rising, and a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has already been fully priced in.
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. are rising, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September now fully priced in. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1: The 2026 U.S. primary funding battle intensifies: A crypto super PAC is accused of “covertly shaping candidates’ narratives,” sparking controversy; 2: Bloomberg analysts: The Hong Kong 2x SK Hynix
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Federal Reserve Hawkish Dot Plot Shocks the Market: Gold Stages a V-Shaped Rebound; Bitcoin’s Key Range Is $64,000–$65,000
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, br
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Analysis: The continued flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve sends a hawkish signal; Bitcoin’s short-term rebound potential may be limited.
Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasu
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Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027
Svmuu News: Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027, having previously forecast a 25-basis-point rate cut in March. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Bitcoin’s reserves are sufficient to cover 32 years of dividend payments; 2. Goldman Sachs: If inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as ear
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Ansem: A hawkish FOMC could trigger a broad sell-off in risk assets, and BTC may retest the lower end of its trading range
Svmuu News: Trader Ansem posted that Warsh and a hawkish FOMC could put pressure on risk assets. He expects risk assets to decline across the board tomorrow, noting that BTC has already shown relative
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1: Federal Reserve: Interest rates held steady as expected; 2: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect rate hikes in 2026; 3: Ansem: Bullish on SpaceX becoming the world’s
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Wash: I hope the market will price assets based on real economic conditions, rather than following interpretations from Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that he hopes financial markets will price securities based on their own assessment of the economy, rather than attempting to price them based o
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Wash: Federal Reserve—No one wants an interest rate hike today
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash stated at a press conference that no one at the Federal Reserve. wanted to raise interest rates in the near term. In response to a question suggesting that cur
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Unable to Provide Any Forward-Looking Guidance on Next Steps
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: “I cannot provide any forward-looking guidance on our next steps; we have abandoned forward-looking guidance, and my personal submission of a dot plot would n
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target; persistently high prices are a burden, and recent history should not be seen as a prelude to inflation problems. (Jin S
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Middle East Conflict Reshapes Federal Reserve Forecasts: Nearly Half of Policymakers Now Expect Rate Hikes; Inflation Forecasts Revised Up Across the Board
Svmuu News: Foreign media analysis indicates that nearly half of the policymakers at Federal Reserve no longer believe that, amid soaring oil prices following the war in Iran, simply keeping borrowing
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Two officials did not submit their 2028 pie chart projections
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of th
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Federal Reserve
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