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Federal Reserve
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"Fed Mouthpiece": Low Employment Growth May Become the New Normal, Particularly Vulnerable in the Context of War
Svmuu News "Fed Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos wrote in an article that the addition of 178,000 jobs in March reversed the significant decline seen in February. The unemployment rate also fell to 4.3%. How
04/04/2026 08:55
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World Gold Council: Global Central Banks Net Purchased 19 Tons in February, Some Maintain Continuous Net Buying Records
According to the World Gold Council's central bank gold buying monthly report released this week, global central banks net purchased 19 tons of gold in February 2026. Although this figure remains belo
04/04/2026 06:40
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Oxford Economics: Fed May Cut Rates Twice This Year to Support Labor Market
Svmuu News Oxford Economics stated that the March employment figures in the United States significantly overestimated the strength of the pre-war labor market, as the data also reflected declines in b
03/04/2026 12:48
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Fed's Daly: The Fed Should Focus on Employment Rate, Not Employment Numbers
Svmuu News The economy no longer needs to create as many jobs as before to maintain the same proportion of the population employed. In this environment, monthly hiring data is no longer the most accur
03/04/2026 12:15
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Fed's Daly: Zero or Negative Job Growth Does Not Necessarily Mean Economic Weakness
Svmuu News After the release of the non-farm payroll data, Fed's Daly stated that zero or negative job growth does not necessarily indicate economic weakness, and a slowdown in labor force growth mean
03/04/2026 12:12
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Analysis: Strong Non-Farm Payrolls Ease Labor Market Concerns, Fed's Cautious Stance Expected to Persist
Svmuu News: Jerry Tempelman, Vice President of Economic and Fixed Income Research at Mutual of America Capital Management, stated: The market is focused on the March non-farm payrolls report to verify
03/04/2026 09:43
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Analysis: Non-farm payroll data still shows significant volatility, and the threshold for the Fed to adjust policy is quite high
Svmuu News: Zachary Griffiths, Head of Investment Grade Credit at Creditsights, stated: The data is subject to further downward revisions; February saw a reduction of 133,000, indicating significant v
03/04/2026 09:34
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Strategist: Last Year's Rate Cut Was a Mistake, Latest Non-Farm Payrolls Present Complex Situation for the Fed
Svmuu News Carson Group's Chief Macro Strategist Sonu Varghese stated that the latest labor data indicates the economy is adding enough new jobs to keep pace with population growth. However, he pointe
03/04/2026 09:16
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Analysts: Strong Non-Farm Payrolls Weaken Rate Cut Bets, Fed Forecasts No Rate Cuts Until June
Svmuu News Due to strong US labor market data, the market has reduced bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year. US Treasury prices fell, pushing yields up by 3 to 5 basis points, w
03/04/2026 09:12
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Probability of Fed Maintaining Interest Rates Unchanged in June Rises to 97.5% After Non-Farm Payrolls Report
Svmuu According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5%, both unchanged from b
03/04/2026 09:08
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U.S. March Non-Farm Payrolls Exceed Wall Street Journal's Decade-Long Historical Forecast Range
Svmuu News The U.S. added 178,000 jobs in March, exceeding the historical forecast range for this indicator by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate was 4.3%, falling within the historical fo
03/04/2026 09:00
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The market appears to interpret the non-farm payroll data as indicating a solid labor market, allowing the Fed to focus on inflation reduction
Svmuu News According to a New York Times financial markets reporter based in New York, the stock market is closed today for the Easter holiday, but the bond market remains open for trading until local
03/04/2026 08:45
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Analysis: U.S. March Employment Rebound Exceeds Expectations, Fed's Focus on Inflation Risks May Further Intensify
Svmuu According to the closely watched employment report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday, nonfarm payrolls increased by 178,000 last month, far exceeding market expectations
03/04/2026 08:43
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Market pricing shows a decline in Fed rate cut bets for 2026
Svmuu News Market pricing indicates a decline in bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026. (Jin10)
03/04/2026 08:35
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Probability of Fed holding rates steady in April before NFP release is 99.5%
Svmuu News According to CME FedWatch Tool: The probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of holding rates steady is 99.5%. The probability of a cu
03/04/2026 08:28
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New York Fed President Warns Iran War-Induced Oil Price Surge Could Spread to Overall Economy
Svmuu News New York Fed President John Williams stated in a FOX Business interview that the impact of the Iran war on energy prices could spread to multiple sectors of the economy. Prices for various
02/04/2026 20:02
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Fed's Logan: Supports Keeping Interest Rates Unchanged
Svmuu News Fed's Logan stated that she supports the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged at the recent FOMC meeting, and the labor market has stabilized from the second half of
02/04/2026 10:38
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Federal Reserve's Logan: Balance Sheet Reduction Possible Through Regulatory Changes
Svmuu News: Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan outlined the path and options for the Federal Reserve to reduce the size of its balance sheet on Thursday, while noting that the current system is function
02/04/2026 10:30
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IMF: Fed Has Limited Room for Rate Cuts in 2026
Svmuu News According to the International Monetary Fund, although U.S. inflation is expected to fall back to the Federal Reserve's 2% target in the first half of next year, policymakers have little ro
02/04/2026 10:03
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Fed's Musalem: Iran War Energy Shock Will Broadly Push Up Inflation
Svmuu News According to Fed Governor Christopher Waller, energy shocks related to a war with Iran would certainly affect overall inflation and could impact core price pressures. Musalem stated at an e
01/04/2026 09:40
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Fed's Musalem: Current Interest Rate Setting Remains Appropriate
Svmuu News According to St. Louis Fed President Musalem on Wednesday, the Fed's current interest rate stance may remain appropriate for the foreseeable future, and he could support either the next rat
01/04/2026 09:09
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Analysis: ADP Continues to Rebound, Fed May Lean More Towards Keeping Rates Unchanged or Considering Rate Hikes
Svmuu According to an analyst from the US financial website investinglive regarding the ADP data, after a period of weakness, the data has shown acceptable performance for two consecutive times. Altho
01/04/2026 08:34
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Probability of Fed maintaining rates unchanged in April at 99.5% before ADP data release
Svmuu News According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5%. The probabilit
01/04/2026 08:13
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Federal Reserve's Barkin: The logic for raising interest rates may primarily revolve around rising inflation expectations
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Barkin stated that current corporate behavior still indicates they view high oil prices as merely short-term disruptions, with little evidence so
01/04/2026 08:04
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
22/06/2026 07:37
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
22/06/2026 07:33
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that without a significant rebound in ETF inflows, its bullish price target of $5,200 for gold in the second half of the year would become much harder to achieve.Morg
22/06/2026 06:44
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BIT: Institutional capital flows have turned to net outflows over the past month, and buying interest may be slow to recover
Svmuu News: BIT released an analysis today stating that over the past 30 days, combined capital flows for stablecoins, Strategy, and the “Bitcoin” ETF have shifted to net outflows, reaching a record h
22/06/2026 03:31
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
22/06/2026 02:40
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ICBA Asks the Kansas City Fed to Reevaluate Kraken's Limited-Use Fed Account
Svmuu News: The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, requesting that it reassess Kraken Financial’s compliance prior to the exp
21/06/2026 23:15
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
21/06/2026 01:30
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
21/06/2026 01:05
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Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index is nearing a breakout above the upper boundary of its trading range; BTC is under pressure and may continue its negative correlation with the DXY.
Svmuu News: Bitcoin, often viewed as the “rival” to the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), is facing sustained pressure, with the market watching closely as the DXY approaches a breakout above the upper boundar
19/06/2026 11:00
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Market pricing indicates Federal Reserve that expectations for an interest rate hike are rising, and a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has already been fully priced in.
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. are rising, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September now fully priced in. (Jin Shi)
19/06/2026 09:57
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1: The 2026 U.S. primary funding battle intensifies: A crypto super PAC is accused of “covertly shaping candidates’ narratives,” sparking controversy; 2: Bloomberg analysts: The Hong Kong 2x SK Hynix
18/06/2026 07:30
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Federal Reserve Hawkish Dot Plot Shocks the Market: Gold Stages a V-Shaped Rebound; Bitcoin’s Key Range Is $64,000–$65,000
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, br
18/06/2026 03:22
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Analysis: The continued flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve sends a hawkish signal; Bitcoin’s short-term rebound potential may be limited.
Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasu
18/06/2026 03:13
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Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027
Svmuu News: Barclays expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2027, having previously forecast a 25-basis-point rate cut in March. (Jin Shi)
18/06/2026 01:52
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Bitcoin’s reserves are sufficient to cover 32 years of dividend payments; 2. Goldman Sachs: If inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as ear
18/06/2026 01:30
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Ansem: A hawkish FOMC could trigger a broad sell-off in risk assets, and BTC may retest the lower end of its trading range
Svmuu News: Trader Ansem posted that Warsh and a hawkish FOMC could put pressure on risk assets. He expects risk assets to decline across the board tomorrow, noting that BTC has already shown relative
17/06/2026 23:32
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
17/06/2026 22:33
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1: Federal Reserve: Interest rates held steady as expected; 2: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect rate hikes in 2026; 3: Ansem: Bullish on SpaceX becoming the world’s
17/06/2026 21:30
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Wash: I hope the market will price assets based on real economic conditions, rather than following interpretations from Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that he hopes financial markets will price securities based on their own assessment of the economy, rather than attempting to price them based o
17/06/2026 16:27
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Wash: Federal Reserve—No one wants an interest rate hike today
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash stated at a press conference that no one at the Federal Reserve. wanted to raise interest rates in the near term. In response to a question suggesting that cur
17/06/2026 16:27
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Unable to Provide Any Forward-Looking Guidance on Next Steps
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: “I cannot provide any forward-looking guidance on our next steps; we have abandoned forward-looking guidance, and my personal submission of a dot plot would n
17/06/2026 14:47
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Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash: Inflation is well above the 2% target; persistently high prices are a burden, and recent history should not be seen as a prelude to inflation problems. (Jin S
17/06/2026 14:38
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Middle East Conflict Reshapes Federal Reserve Forecasts: Nearly Half of Policymakers Now Expect Rate Hikes; Inflation Forecasts Revised Up Across the Board
Svmuu News: Foreign media analysis indicates that nearly half of the policymakers at Federal Reserve no longer believe that, amid soaring oil prices following the war in Iran, simply keeping borrowing
17/06/2026 14:35
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Two officials did not submit their 2028 pie chart projections
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of th
17/06/2026 14:21
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